Foghorn Therapeutics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FHTX Stock | USD 5.70 0.07 1.21% |
Foghorn Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The RSI of Foghorn Therapeutics' share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Foghorn Therapeutics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.11) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.00) | Wall Street Target Price 11.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.30) |
Using Foghorn Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Foghorn Therapeutics from the perspective of Foghorn Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Foghorn Therapeutics using Foghorn Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Foghorn using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Foghorn Therapeutics' stock price.
Foghorn Therapeutics Implied Volatility | 3.17 |
Foghorn Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Foghorn Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Foghorn Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Foghorn Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Foghorn Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Foghorn Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.87. Foghorn Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 5.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foghorn Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Foghorn Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Foghorn Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Foghorn Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Foghorn Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Foghorn Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Foghorn Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Foghorn Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Foghorn. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Foghorn Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Foghorn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Foghorn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Foghorn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Foghorn Therapeutics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Foghorn Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 6.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Foghorn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Foghorn Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Foghorn Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Foghorn Therapeutics | Foghorn Therapeutics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Foghorn Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Foghorn Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Foghorn Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.37 and 11.73, respectively. We have considered Foghorn Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Foghorn Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Foghorn Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1395 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3094 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.062 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.8733 |
Predictive Modules for Foghorn Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foghorn Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Foghorn Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Foghorn Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Foghorn Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Foghorn Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Foghorn Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Foghorn Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Foghorn Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Foghorn Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Foghorn Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 11.38, respectively. We have considered Foghorn Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Foghorn Therapeutics is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Foghorn Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Foghorn Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Foghorn Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Foghorn Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Foghorn Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 5.68 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.70 | 5.70 | 0.00 |
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Foghorn Therapeutics Hype Timeline
Foghorn Therapeutics is currently traded for 5.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Foghorn is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Foghorn Therapeutics is about 7100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.75. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.14. Foghorn Therapeutics had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foghorn Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.Foghorn Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Foghorn Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Foghorn Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Foghorn Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Foghorn Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMRX | Immuneering Corp | (1.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.12 | (5.64) | 67.18 | |
| PYXS | Pyxis Oncology | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 17.05 | (15.41) | 70.66 | |
| ASMB | Assembly Biosciences | 1.29 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.85 | (6.65) | 18.53 | |
| ZURA | Zura Bio Limited | 0.05 | 8 per month | 4.26 | 0.14 | 9.32 | (7.00) | 33.15 | |
| ARCT | Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.10 | (6.72) | 15.98 | |
| SGMT | Sagimet Biosciences Series | (0.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.37 | (8.25) | 23.02 | |
| HUMA | Humacyte | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.16 | (8.13) | 20.54 | |
| TRDA | Entrada Therapeutics | 0.25 | 11 per month | 2.11 | 0.24 | 6.98 | (4.00) | 15.00 | |
| ENTA | Enanta Pharmaceuticals | 0.22 | 5 per month | 2.61 | 0.1 | 5.67 | (3.59) | 15.79 | |
| VNDA | Vanda Pharmaceuticals | 0.20 | 10 per month | 4.93 | 0.10 | 11.39 | (6.34) | 39.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Foghorn Therapeutics
For every potential investor in Foghorn, whether a beginner or expert, Foghorn Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Foghorn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Foghorn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Foghorn Therapeutics' price trends.Foghorn Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Foghorn Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Foghorn Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Foghorn Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Foghorn Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Foghorn Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Foghorn Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Foghorn Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Foghorn Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Foghorn Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Foghorn Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Foghorn Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting foghorn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.61 | |||
| Variance | 31.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Foghorn Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for Foghorn Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Foghorn Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Foghorn Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Foghorn Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Foghorn Therapeutics Short Properties
Foghorn Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Foghorn Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Foghorn Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Foghorn Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foghorn Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 243.7 M |
Additional Tools for Foghorn Stock Analysis
When running Foghorn Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Foghorn Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foghorn Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Foghorn Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foghorn Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foghorn Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foghorn Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.