Figure Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FIGR Stock | USD 64.88 3.85 5.60% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Figure Technology Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 64.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.01. Figure Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Figure Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Figure Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Figure Technology fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Figure Technology's stock price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Figure, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.314 |
Using Figure Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Figure Technology Solutions from the perspective of Figure Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Figure Technology using Figure Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Figure using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Figure Technology's stock price.
Figure Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Figure Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Figure Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Figure Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 40.3956 | Short Percent 0.0211 | Short Ratio 0.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | Shares Short 5.7 M |
Figure Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Figure Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Figure. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Figure can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Figure Technology Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Figure Technology Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
Figure Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Figure Technology Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Figure Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Figure Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Figure Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Figure Technology Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 64.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.01. Figure Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 64.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Figure Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Figure contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Figure Technology Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Figure Technology trading at USD 64.88, that is roughly USD 0.0401 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Figure Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Figure Technology Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Figure Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Figure Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Figure Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Figure Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Figure Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Figure Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Figure Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Figure. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Figure Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Figure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Figure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Figure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Figure Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Figure Technology Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 64.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.48, mean absolute percentage error of 12.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Figure Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Figure Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Figure Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Figure Technology | Figure Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Figure Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Figure Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Figure Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.50 and 71.26, respectively. We have considered Figure Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Figure Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Figure Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7997 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5931 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4836 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0527 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 149.015 |
Predictive Modules for Figure Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Figure Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Figure Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Figure Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Figure Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Figure Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Figure Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Figure Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Figure Technology's historical news coverage. Figure Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.54 and 71.22, respectively. We have considered Figure Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Figure Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Figure Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Figure Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Figure Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Figure Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Figure Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.93 | 6.38 | 1.86 | 0.39 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
64.88 | 64.88 | 0.00 |
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Figure Technology Hype Timeline
Figure Technology is currently traded for 64.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.86, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.39. Figure is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.93%. %. The volatility of related hype on Figure Technology is about 1508.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.27. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of June 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Figure Technology to cross-verify your projections.Figure Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Figure Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Figure Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Figure Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Figure Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRX | Marex Group plc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.20 | 4.61 | (1.85) | 7.97 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 1.59 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.12 | 2.43 | (2.17) | 7.58 | |
| BITF | Bitfarms | 0.17 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.45 | (9.49) | 28.53 | |
| LC | LendingClub Corp | (0.88) | 6 per month | 2.67 | 0.07 | 4.96 | (4.44) | 13.92 | |
| BBT | Beacon Financial | (0.58) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.15 | 4.08 | (1.83) | 9.56 | |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | (0.09) | 12 per month | 2.45 | 0.04 | 4.96 | (3.42) | 12.28 | |
| SII | Sprott Inc | 0.1 | 19 per month | 1.64 | 0.23 | 4.64 | (3.40) | 11.26 | |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings | 1.30 | 25 per month | 0.98 | 0.04 | 2.26 | (1.29) | 6.26 | |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | 1.30 | 25 per month | 0.96 | 0.18 | 3.02 | (1.68) | 8.35 | |
| FRME | First Merchants | 1.30 | 28 per month | 1.09 | 0.02 | 2.08 | (1.50) | 6.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Figure Technology
For every potential investor in Figure, whether a beginner or expert, Figure Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Figure Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Figure. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Figure Technology's price trends.Figure Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Figure Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Figure Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Figure Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Figure Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Figure Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Figure Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Figure Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Figure Technology Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 511018.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.48) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 65.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.85) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.27 |
Figure Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Figure Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Figure Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting figure stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.19 | |||
| Variance | 38.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Figure Technology
The number of cover stories for Figure Technology depends on current market conditions and Figure Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Figure Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Figure Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Figure Technology Short Properties
Figure Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Figure Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Figure Technology Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Figure Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Figure Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 208.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 365.1 M |
Additional Tools for Figure Stock Analysis
When running Figure Technology's price analysis, check to measure Figure Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Figure Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Figure Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Figure Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Figure Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Figure Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.