Fidelity National Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FIS Stock | USD 59.46 0.00 0.00% |
Fidelity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fidelity National's share price is approaching 36. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fidelity National, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.22 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7002 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7683 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2638 | Wall Street Target Price 79 |
Using Fidelity National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fidelity National Information from the perspective of Fidelity National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fidelity National using Fidelity National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fidelity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fidelity National's stock price.
Fidelity National Short Interest
An investor who is long Fidelity National may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fidelity National and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fidelity National with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 71.5553 | Short Percent 0.0333 | Short Ratio 5.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 65.357 |
Fidelity Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fidelity National Information on the next trading day is expected to be 59.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.11.Fidelity National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fidelity National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fidelity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fidelity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fidelity National Information. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fidelity National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fidelity National.
Fidelity National Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Fidelity National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fidelity National Information stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fidelity National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fidelity National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fidelity National's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fidelity National Information on the next trading day is expected to be 59.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.11. Fidelity National after-hype prediction price | USD 60.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fidelity National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fidelity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fidelity National Information will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fidelity National trading at USD 59.46, that is roughly USD 0.0141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fidelity National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fidelity National Information options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Fidelity Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fidelity National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fidelity National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fidelity National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fidelity National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fidelity National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fidelity National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fidelity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fidelity National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fidelity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fidelity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fidelity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fidelity National Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fidelity National Information on the next trading day is expected to be 59.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fidelity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fidelity National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fidelity National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fidelity National | Fidelity National Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fidelity National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fidelity National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fidelity National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.89 and 61.02, respectively. We have considered Fidelity National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fidelity National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fidelity National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9768 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0279 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6352 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.115 |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fidelity National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fidelity National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fidelity National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fidelity National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fidelity National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fidelity National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fidelity National's historical news coverage. Fidelity National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.84 and 62.00, respectively. We have considered Fidelity National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fidelity National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fidelity National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fidelity National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fidelity National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fidelity National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fidelity National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.57 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.46 | 60.42 | 0.13 |
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Fidelity National Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Fidelity National is traded for 59.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Fidelity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 60.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Fidelity National is about 3413.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.45. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fidelity National was currently reported as 26.7. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. Fidelity National last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fidelity National to cross-verify your projections.Fidelity National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fidelity National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fidelity National's future price movements. Getting to know how Fidelity National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fidelity National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FI | FI Old | 1.57 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.30 | (3.13) | 47.14 | |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | 2.22 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.19 | 3.10 | (2.07) | 8.70 | |
| PSTG | Pure Storage | 0.81 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.99 | (5.74) | 34.28 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | (1.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.42 | (1.92) | 6.31 | |
| WIT | Wipro Limited ADR | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.28 | (2.05) | 14.40 | |
| ALAB | Astera Labs | (8.24) | 10 per month | 5.41 | 0.03 | 7.93 | (8.44) | 24.41 | |
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group | 7.32 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.04 | (7.23) | 23.45 | |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings | (5.22) | 10 per month | 1.38 | (0.04) | 2.11 | (2.43) | 9.17 | |
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies | 2.77 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.16 | 2.87 | (2.83) | 13.11 | |
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.85 | (4.17) | 9.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fidelity National
For every potential investor in Fidelity, whether a beginner or expert, Fidelity National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fidelity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fidelity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fidelity National's price trends.Fidelity National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fidelity National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fidelity National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fidelity National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fidelity National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fidelity National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fidelity National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fidelity National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fidelity National Information entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0321 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 60.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 60.12 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.98) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 36.47 |
Fidelity National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fidelity National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fidelity National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fidelity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fidelity National
The number of cover stories for Fidelity National depends on current market conditions and Fidelity National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fidelity National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fidelity National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fidelity National Short Properties
Fidelity National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fidelity National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fidelity National Information often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fidelity National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 555 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 834 M |
Additional Tools for Fidelity Stock Analysis
When running Fidelity National's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity National is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.