Fiserv Common Stock Forward View

FISV Stock  USD 61.47  0.06  0.1%   
Fiserv Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fiserv Common's share price is approaching 35. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fiserv Common, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fiserv Common's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fiserv Common and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fiserv Common's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fiserv Common Stock, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fiserv Common's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.5966
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.3822
Wall Street Target Price
95.8357
Using Fiserv Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fiserv Common Stock from the perspective of Fiserv Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fiserv Common using Fiserv Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fiserv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fiserv Common's stock price.

Fiserv Common Short Interest

An investor who is long Fiserv Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fiserv Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fiserv Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
162.3784
Shares Short Prior Month
20.1 M
50 Day MA
107.1226
Shares Short
16.7 M

Fiserv Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fiserv Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 64.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.73.

Fiserv Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fiserv Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fiserv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fiserv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fiserv Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fiserv Common's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fiserv Common.

Fiserv Common Implied Volatility

    
  0.49  
Fiserv Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fiserv Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fiserv Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fiserv Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fiserv Common's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fiserv Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 64.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.73.

Fiserv Common after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 61.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fiserv Common to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fiserv contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fiserv Common Stock will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fiserv Common trading at USD 61.47, that is roughly USD 0.0188 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fiserv Common's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fiserv Common Stock options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Fiserv Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fiserv Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fiserv Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fiserv Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fiserv Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fiserv Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fiserv Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fiserv. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fiserv Common Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fiserv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fiserv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fiserv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Fiserv Common's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 B
Current Value
798 M
Quarterly Volatility
735.5 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Fiserv Common is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fiserv Common Stock value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fiserv Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fiserv Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 64.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fiserv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fiserv Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fiserv Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fiserv Common  Fiserv Common Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fiserv Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fiserv Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fiserv Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.95 and 66.45, respectively. We have considered Fiserv Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.47
64.20
Expected Value
66.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fiserv Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fiserv Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6304
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1247
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors69.7336
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fiserv Common Stock. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fiserv Common. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fiserv Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiserv Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fiserv Common's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.8861.1563.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.3562.6264.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.0261.2391.45
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.822.102.52
Details

Fiserv Common After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fiserv Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fiserv Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fiserv Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fiserv Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fiserv Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fiserv Common's historical news coverage. Fiserv Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.88 and 63.42, respectively. We have considered Fiserv Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.47
61.15
After-hype Price
63.42
Upside
Fiserv Common is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fiserv Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fiserv Common Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fiserv Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fiserv Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fiserv Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.25
  0.19 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.47
61.15
0.31 
60.65  
Notes

Fiserv Common Hype Timeline

Fiserv Common Stock is currently traded for 61.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Fiserv is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 61.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 60.65%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Fiserv Common is about 462.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.49. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fiserv Common Stock has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of March 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fiserv Common to cross-verify your projections.

Fiserv Common Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fiserv Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fiserv Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Fiserv Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fiserv Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions(3.53)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.97 (3.22) 15.18 
FISFidelity National Information(0.07)10 per month 0.00 (0.24) 2.18 (3.22) 11.88 
ERICTelefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson(0.14)10 per month 1.14  0.08  2.40 (1.65) 10.94 
WITWipro Limited ADR(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.98 (4.60) 14.08 
ASXASE Industrial Holding 0.05 9 per month 1.38  0.31  4.72 (2.63) 8.76 
LDOSLeidos Holdings(3.78)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.83 (2.62) 17.71 
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions 3.66 6 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.89 (4.36) 8.27 
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.09 (4.90) 13.47 
ITGartner 4.14 7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.22 (4.89) 26.20 
CDWCDW Corp 4.58 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.29 (3.57) 15.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Fiserv Common

For every potential investor in Fiserv, whether a beginner or expert, Fiserv Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fiserv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fiserv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fiserv Common's price trends.

Fiserv Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fiserv Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fiserv Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fiserv Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fiserv Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fiserv Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fiserv Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fiserv Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fiserv Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fiserv Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fiserv Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fiserv Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fiserv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fiserv Common

The number of cover stories for Fiserv Common depends on current market conditions and Fiserv Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fiserv Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fiserv Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fiserv Common Short Properties

Fiserv Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fiserv Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fiserv Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fiserv Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiserv Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding549 M
Cash And Short Term Investments798 M

Additional Tools for Fiserv Stock Analysis

When running Fiserv Common's price analysis, check to measure Fiserv Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiserv Common is operating at the current time. Most of Fiserv Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiserv Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiserv Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiserv Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.