Starfighters Space Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FJET Stock | 10.15 0.24 2.31% |
Starfighters Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Starfighters Space's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Starfighters Space hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starfighters Space from the perspective of Starfighters Space response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Starfighters Space after-hype prediction price | USD 10.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Starfighters | Build AI portfolio with Starfighters Stock |
Starfighters Space Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Starfighters price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starfighters using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starfighters charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Starfighters Space Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Starfighters Space on the next trading day is expected to be 10.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.09, mean absolute percentage error of 26.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starfighters Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starfighters Space's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Starfighters Space Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Starfighters Space | Starfighters Space Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Starfighters Space Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Starfighters Space's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Starfighters Space's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.10 and 90.62, respectively. We have considered Starfighters Space's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starfighters Space stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starfighters Space stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 49.7003 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7269 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0949 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1311 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.088 |
Predictive Modules for Starfighters Space
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starfighters Space. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starfighters Space's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Starfighters Space After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starfighters Space at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starfighters Space or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starfighters Space, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Starfighters Space Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starfighters Space's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starfighters Space's historical news coverage. Starfighters Space's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.51 and 1,025, respectively. We have considered Starfighters Space's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Starfighters Space is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starfighters Space is based on 3 months time horizon.
Starfighters Space Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starfighters Space is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starfighters Space backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starfighters Space, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
11.88 | 79.66 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.15 | 10.15 | 0.00 |
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Starfighters Space Hype Timeline
Starfighters Space is currently traded for 10.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Starfighters is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 11.88%. %. The volatility of related hype on Starfighters Space is about 885111.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.26. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starfighters Space to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Starfighters Stock please use our How to Invest in Starfighters Space guide.Starfighters Space Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starfighters Space's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starfighters Space's future price movements. Getting to know how Starfighters Space's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starfighters Space may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFJK | Aimei Health Technology | 0.11 | 10 per month | 12.34 | 0.13 | 60.89 | (22.49) | 1,067 | |
| CVU | CPI Aerostructures | 0.35 | 11 per month | 3.19 | 0.19 | 11.44 | (6.04) | 24.77 | |
| GPUS | Hyperscale Data | (0.01) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 19.05 | (11.76) | 62.50 | |
| INHD | Inno Holdings Common | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 10.50 | (21.87) | 50.62 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | (0.27) | 6 per month | 2.30 | 0.22 | 9.75 | (3.90) | 34.66 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.30 | 0.0003 | 14.20 | (14.95) | 141.67 | |
| LFS | LEIFRAS Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.71 | 0.1 | 21.84 | (22.92) | 617.95 | |
| MGRT | Mega Fortune | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.37 | 0.09 | 16.30 | (10.77) | 176.65 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | 0.28 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| PAVS | Paranovus Entertainment Technology | (0.30) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 22.50 | (29.49) | 133.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Starfighters Space
For every potential investor in Starfighters, whether a beginner or expert, Starfighters Space's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Starfighters Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Starfighters. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Starfighters Space's price trends.Starfighters Space Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Starfighters Space stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Starfighters Space could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starfighters Space by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Starfighters Space Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starfighters Space stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starfighters Space shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Starfighters Space stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Starfighters Space entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22069.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.36 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.44) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.24) |
Starfighters Space Risk Indicators
The analysis of Starfighters Space's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starfighters Space's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting starfighters stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 31.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 79.66 | |||
| Variance | 6345.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 350.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 244.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (53.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Starfighters Space
The number of cover stories for Starfighters Space depends on current market conditions and Starfighters Space's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starfighters Space is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starfighters Space's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Starfighters Stock Analysis
When running Starfighters Space's price analysis, check to measure Starfighters Space's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starfighters Space is operating at the current time. Most of Starfighters Space's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starfighters Space's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starfighters Space's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starfighters Space to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.