Fujitsu Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

FJTSF Stock  USD 25.27  2.93  10.39%   
Fujitsu Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Fujitsu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 14th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Fujitsu's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fujitsu's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fujitsu and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fujitsu's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fujitsu Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fujitsu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fujitsu Limited from the perspective of Fujitsu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fujitsu Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.13.

Fujitsu after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fujitsu to cross-verify your projections.

Fujitsu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fujitsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fujitsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fujitsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fujitsu works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fujitsu Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fujitsu Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 3.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fujitsu Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fujitsu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fujitsu Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fujitsu  Fujitsu Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fujitsu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fujitsu's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fujitsu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.55 and 32.86, respectively. We have considered Fujitsu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.27
25.70
Expected Value
32.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fujitsu pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fujitsu pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.269
MADMean absolute deviation1.4022
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.052
SAESum of the absolute errors84.1329
When Fujitsu Limited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fujitsu Limited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fujitsu observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fujitsu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujitsu Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fujitsu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4024.5531.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6421.7928.94
Details

Fujitsu After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fujitsu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fujitsu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fujitsu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fujitsu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fujitsu's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fujitsu's historical news coverage. Fujitsu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.40 and 31.70, respectively. We have considered Fujitsu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.27
24.55
After-hype Price
31.70
Upside
Fujitsu is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fujitsu Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fujitsu Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fujitsu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fujitsu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fujitsu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
7.15
  0.72 
  0.04 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.27
24.55
2.85 
247.40  
Notes

Fujitsu Hype Timeline

Fujitsu Limited is currently traded for 25.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Fujitsu is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -2.85%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Fujitsu is about 4085.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.23. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fujitsu was currently reported as 8145.04. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.7. Fujitsu Limited last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The entity had 1:10 split on the 26th of September 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fujitsu to cross-verify your projections.

Fujitsu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fujitsu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fujitsu's future price movements. Getting to know how Fujitsu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fujitsu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Fujitsu

For every potential investor in Fujitsu, whether a beginner or expert, Fujitsu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fujitsu Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fujitsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fujitsu's price trends.

Fujitsu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fujitsu pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fujitsu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fujitsu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fujitsu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fujitsu pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fujitsu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fujitsu pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fujitsu Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fujitsu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fujitsu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fujitsu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fujitsu pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fujitsu

The number of cover stories for Fujitsu depends on current market conditions and Fujitsu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fujitsu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fujitsu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Fujitsu Pink Sheet

Fujitsu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujitsu Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujitsu with respect to the benefits of owning Fujitsu security.