Fkhemx Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FKHEMX Fund | 12.21 0.09 0.73% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fkhemx on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.84. Fkhemx Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Fkhemx's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fkhemx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fkhemx from the perspective of Fkhemx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fkhemx on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.84. Fkhemx after-hype prediction price | USD 12.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fkhemx |
Fkhemx Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fkhemx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fkhemx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fkhemx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fkhemx Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fkhemx on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fkhemx Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fkhemx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fkhemx Fund Forecast Pattern
Fkhemx Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fkhemx's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fkhemx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.36 and 13.06, respectively. We have considered Fkhemx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fkhemx fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fkhemx fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7404 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0807 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.84 |
Predictive Modules for Fkhemx
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fkhemx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fkhemx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Fkhemx
For every potential investor in Fkhemx, whether a beginner or expert, Fkhemx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fkhemx Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fkhemx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fkhemx's price trends.Fkhemx Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fkhemx fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fkhemx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fkhemx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fkhemx Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fkhemx's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fkhemx's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fkhemx Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fkhemx fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fkhemx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fkhemx fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Fkhemx entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
Fkhemx Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fkhemx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fkhemx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fkhemx fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6437 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8793 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8352 | |||
| Variance | 0.6975 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8754 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7732 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Other Information on Investing in Fkhemx Fund
Fkhemx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fkhemx Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fkhemx with respect to the benefits of owning Fkhemx security.
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