Fukuoka Financial Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FKKFY Stock | USD 19.38 3.82 16.47% |
Fukuoka Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Fukuoka Financial's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Fukuoka, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fukuoka Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fukuoka Financial Group from the perspective of Fukuoka Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fukuoka Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 19.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.91. Fukuoka Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 23.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fukuoka |
Fukuoka Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fukuoka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fukuoka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fukuoka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fukuoka Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fukuoka Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 19.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fukuoka Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fukuoka Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fukuoka Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fukuoka Financial | Fukuoka Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fukuoka Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fukuoka Financial's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fukuoka Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.44 and 24.68, respectively. We have considered Fukuoka Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fukuoka Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fukuoka Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0401 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1181 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5067 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0276 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.906 |
Predictive Modules for Fukuoka Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fukuoka Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fukuoka Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fukuoka Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fukuoka Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fukuoka Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fukuoka Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fukuoka Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fukuoka Financial's historical news coverage. Fukuoka Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.28 and 28.12, respectively. We have considered Fukuoka Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fukuoka Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fukuoka Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fukuoka Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fukuoka Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fukuoka Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fukuoka Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 5.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.38 | 23.20 | 0.00 |
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Fukuoka Financial Hype Timeline
Fukuoka Financial is currently traded for 19.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fukuoka is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fukuoka Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.38. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fukuoka Financial last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fukuoka Financial to cross-verify your projections.Fukuoka Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fukuoka Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fukuoka Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Fukuoka Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fukuoka Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKZHF | Santander Bank Polska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TMBBY | TMB Bank PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKEAY | Bank of East | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.33 | 0.05 | 7.07 | (8.15) | 30.62 | |
| BKAHF | Bank Of Ayudhya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KMERF | Komercn banka as | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.09 | |
| BKEAF | The Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 16.77 | |
| BXRBF | Bendigo And Adelaide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JYSKF | Jyske Bank AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SREDF | Storebrand ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.98 | |
| UNJCF | Unicaja Banco SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fukuoka Financial
For every potential investor in Fukuoka, whether a beginner or expert, Fukuoka Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fukuoka Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fukuoka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fukuoka Financial's price trends.Fukuoka Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fukuoka Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fukuoka Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fukuoka Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fukuoka Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fukuoka Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fukuoka Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fukuoka Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fukuoka Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 144.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.71) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.84 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.12 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0016 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.82) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 70.31 |
Fukuoka Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fukuoka Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fukuoka Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fukuoka pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.18 | |||
| Variance | 26.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 67.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fukuoka Financial
The number of cover stories for Fukuoka Financial depends on current market conditions and Fukuoka Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fukuoka Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fukuoka Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Fukuoka Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Fukuoka Financial's price analysis, check to measure Fukuoka Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fukuoka Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Fukuoka Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fukuoka Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fukuoka Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fukuoka Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.