Flowerkist Skin Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FKST Stock | USD 5.04 0.00 0.00% |
Flowerkist Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Flowerkist Skin's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Flowerkist Skin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flowerkist Skin Care from the perspective of Flowerkist Skin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flowerkist Skin Care on the next trading day is expected to be 5.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.52. Flowerkist Skin after-hype prediction price | USD 5.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Flowerkist |
Flowerkist Skin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flowerkist price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flowerkist using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flowerkist charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flowerkist Skin Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flowerkist Skin Care on the next trading day is expected to be 5.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 5.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flowerkist Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flowerkist Skin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flowerkist Skin Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Flowerkist Skin | Flowerkist Skin Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Flowerkist Skin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flowerkist Skin's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flowerkist Skin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 74.05, respectively. We have considered Flowerkist Skin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flowerkist Skin pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flowerkist Skin pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0733 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6587 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0866 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.52 |
Predictive Modules for Flowerkist Skin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flowerkist Skin Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flowerkist Skin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flowerkist Skin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flowerkist Skin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flowerkist Skin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Flowerkist Skin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flowerkist Skin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flowerkist Skin's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flowerkist Skin's historical news coverage. Flowerkist Skin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 509.04, respectively. We have considered Flowerkist Skin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flowerkist Skin is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flowerkist Skin Care is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flowerkist Skin Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flowerkist Skin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flowerkist Skin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flowerkist Skin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
11.61 | 69.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.04 | 5.04 | 0.00 |
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Flowerkist Skin Hype Timeline
Flowerkist Skin Care is currently traded for 5.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Flowerkist is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 11.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flowerkist Skin is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.04. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Flowerkist Skin Care had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1000 split on the 20th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flowerkist Skin to cross-verify your projections.Flowerkist Skin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flowerkist Skin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flowerkist Skin's future price movements. Getting to know how Flowerkist Skin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flowerkist Skin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GNCNF | Gencan Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IVFZF | Invictus Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.03 | |
| CRVH | Chilco River Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.86 | 0.06 | 15.66 | (12.50) | 148.89 | |
| TFGL | Nuvonyx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.33 | 0.19 | 76.47 | (34.00) | 303.67 | |
| NIHL | New Infinity Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.10 | 0.12 | 41.50 | (29.33) | 402.17 | |
| UBSBF | Kure Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.74 | |
| SVLT | Sunvault Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.67 | |
| QYBX | Qian Yuan Baixing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.50 | 0.07 | 16.67 | (18.18) | 63.46 | |
| NGCG | New Generation Consumer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.75 | 0.02 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 91.67 | |
| AGGI | Allied Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.72 | 0.0009 | 14.29 | (16.67) | 58.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flowerkist Skin
For every potential investor in Flowerkist, whether a beginner or expert, Flowerkist Skin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flowerkist Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flowerkist. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flowerkist Skin's price trends.Flowerkist Skin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flowerkist Skin pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flowerkist Skin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flowerkist Skin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flowerkist Skin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flowerkist Skin pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flowerkist Skin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flowerkist Skin pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Flowerkist Skin Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flowerkist Skin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flowerkist Skin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flowerkist Skin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flowerkist pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 24.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 67.97 | |||
| Variance | 4620.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flowerkist Skin
The number of cover stories for Flowerkist Skin depends on current market conditions and Flowerkist Skin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flowerkist Skin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flowerkist Skin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flowerkist Skin Short Properties
Flowerkist Skin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flowerkist Skin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flowerkist Skin Care often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flowerkist Skin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flowerkist Skin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.2 K | |
| Short Long Term Debt Total | 1972.00 |
Additional Tools for Flowerkist Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Flowerkist Skin's price analysis, check to measure Flowerkist Skin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flowerkist Skin is operating at the current time. Most of Flowerkist Skin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flowerkist Skin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flowerkist Skin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flowerkist Skin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.