Foot Locker Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FL Stock  USD 20.99  0.19  0.90%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Foot Locker on the next trading day is expected to be 20.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.24. Foot Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Foot Locker's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Foot Locker's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Foot Locker fundamentals over time.
  
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 2.06 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 2.97. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 107.2 M this year, although the value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares will most likely fall to about 351 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Foot Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Foot Locker's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Foot Locker's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Foot Locker stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Foot Locker's open interest, investors have to compare it to Foot Locker's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Foot Locker is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Foot. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Foot Locker price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Foot Locker Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Foot Locker on the next trading day is expected to be 20.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Foot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Foot Locker's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Foot Locker Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Foot LockerFoot Locker Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Foot Locker Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Foot Locker's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Foot Locker's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.03 and 23.14, respectively. We have considered Foot Locker's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.99
20.59
Expected Value
23.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Foot Locker stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Foot Locker stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8179
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6761
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0293
SAESum of the absolute errors41.2417
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Foot Locker historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Foot Locker

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foot Locker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4220.9823.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3322.8825.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.1620.8921.62
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.7323.8826.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Foot Locker

For every potential investor in Foot, whether a beginner or expert, Foot Locker's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Foot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Foot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Foot Locker's price trends.

Foot Locker Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Foot Locker stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Foot Locker could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Foot Locker by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Foot Locker Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Foot Locker's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Foot Locker's current price.

Foot Locker Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Foot Locker stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Foot Locker shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Foot Locker stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Foot Locker entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Foot Locker Risk Indicators

The analysis of Foot Locker's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Foot Locker's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting foot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foot Locker to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Foot Stock please use our How to buy in Foot Stock guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Foot Locker. If investors know Foot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Foot Locker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
(4.52)
Revenue Per Share
86.173
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.019
Return On Assets
0.0118
The market value of Foot Locker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Foot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Foot Locker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Foot Locker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Foot Locker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Foot Locker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Foot Locker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Foot Locker is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Foot Locker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.