Fleetwood Bank Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FLEW Stock | USD 62.00 1.92 3.00% |
Fleetwood Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fleetwood Bank's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fleetwood Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fleetwood Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fleetwood Bank Pa from the perspective of Fleetwood Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fleetwood Bank Pa on the next trading day is expected to be 62.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.72. Fleetwood Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 62.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fleetwood |
Fleetwood Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fleetwood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fleetwood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fleetwood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fleetwood Bank Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fleetwood Bank Pa on the next trading day is expected to be 62.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 11.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fleetwood Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fleetwood Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fleetwood Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fleetwood Bank | Fleetwood Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fleetwood Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fleetwood Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fleetwood Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.49 and 67.51, respectively. We have considered Fleetwood Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fleetwood Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fleetwood Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1525 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1817 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0188 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 69.72 |
Predictive Modules for Fleetwood Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fleetwood Bank Pa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fleetwood Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fleetwood Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fleetwood Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fleetwood Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fleetwood Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fleetwood Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fleetwood Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fleetwood Bank's historical news coverage. Fleetwood Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.49 and 67.51, respectively. We have considered Fleetwood Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fleetwood Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fleetwood Bank Pa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fleetwood Bank Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fleetwood Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fleetwood Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fleetwood Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 5.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
62.00 | 62.00 | 0.00 |
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Fleetwood Bank Hype Timeline
Fleetwood Bank Pa is currently traded for 62.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fleetwood is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fleetwood Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2023. Fleetwood Bank Pa had 105:100 split on the 26th of March 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fleetwood Bank to cross-verify your projections.Fleetwood Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fleetwood Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fleetwood Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Fleetwood Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fleetwood Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSBB | Mercer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.23 | (0.31) | 2.60 | |
| CTYP | Community Bankers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.08 | 5.45 | (3.52) | 23.19 | |
| CIBN | Community Investors Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.01 | 4.32 | (3.93) | 23.66 | |
| TCNB | Town Center Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.33 | (1.15) | 4.98 | |
| UNTN | United Tennessee Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1.53 | (0.10) | 5.31 | |
| JTNB | JTNB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.03 | 2.57 | (2.56) | 6.68 | |
| HRBK | Harbor Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.60 | (5.00) | 19.98 | |
| TVLF | Tennessee Valley Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.46 | (0.12) | 7.60 | |
| LOGN | Logansport Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.02 | 1.56 | (1.09) | 9.11 | |
| TBBA | Teb Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.52 | (4.66) | 25.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fleetwood Bank
For every potential investor in Fleetwood, whether a beginner or expert, Fleetwood Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fleetwood Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fleetwood. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fleetwood Bank's price trends.Fleetwood Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fleetwood Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fleetwood Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fleetwood Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fleetwood Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fleetwood Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fleetwood Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fleetwood Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fleetwood Bank Pa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fleetwood Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fleetwood Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fleetwood Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fleetwood pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.3 | |||
| Variance | 28.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 84.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fleetwood Bank
The number of cover stories for Fleetwood Bank depends on current market conditions and Fleetwood Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fleetwood Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fleetwood Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Fleetwood Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Fleetwood Bank's price analysis, check to measure Fleetwood Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fleetwood Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Fleetwood Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fleetwood Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fleetwood Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fleetwood Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.