Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FLGR Etf | USD 34.63 0.32 0.93% |
Franklin Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Franklin FTSE's etf price is slightly above 60. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Franklin FTSE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin FTSE Germany from the perspective of Franklin FTSE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin FTSE using Franklin FTSE's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin FTSE's stock price.
Franklin FTSE Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Franklin FTSE's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin FTSE Germany stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin FTSE's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin FTSE stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin FTSE's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE Germany on the next trading day is expected to be 34.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.47. Franklin FTSE after-hype prediction price | USD 34.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin FTSE Germany will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Franklin FTSE trading at USD 34.63, that is roughly USD 0.009956 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin FTSE's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin FTSE Germany options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Franklin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin FTSE's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin FTSE's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin FTSE stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin FTSE's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin FTSE's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin FTSE is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Franklin FTSE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin FTSE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE Germany on the next trading day is expected to be 34.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin FTSE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin FTSE | Franklin FTSE Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Franklin FTSE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin FTSE's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin FTSE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.80 and 35.46, respectively. We have considered Franklin FTSE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin FTSE etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin FTSE etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6649 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0365 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2245 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0069 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.47 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin FTSE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin FTSE Germany. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin FTSE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin FTSE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin FTSE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Franklin FTSE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin FTSE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin FTSE's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin FTSE's historical news coverage. Franklin FTSE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.80 and 35.46, respectively. We have considered Franklin FTSE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin FTSE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin FTSE Germany is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin FTSE Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Franklin FTSE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin FTSE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin FTSE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.63 | 34.63 | 0.00 |
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Franklin FTSE Hype Timeline
Franklin FTSE Germany is currently traded for 34.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin FTSE is about 768.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.64. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin FTSE to cross-verify your projections.Franklin FTSE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin FTSE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin FTSE's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin FTSE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin FTSE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLSW | Franklin FTSE Switzerland | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.49 | 0.01 | 1.25 | (1.02) | 3.44 | |
| HQGO | Hartford Quality Growth | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.85 | (0.04) | 1.30 | (1.50) | 4.24 | |
| SURE | Sonora Resources Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.58 | 0.05 | 1.78 | (0.98) | 4.06 | |
| VMAX | REX VolMAXX Long | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.03 | 1.20 | (1.52) | 3.01 | |
| FDNI | First Trust Dow | 0.09 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.95 | (1.82) | 5.60 | |
| WLDR | Affinity World Leaders | (0.46) | 3 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.34 | (1.57) | 3.62 | |
| AHLT | American Beacon Select | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.87 | 0.14 | 1.87 | (1.42) | 5.63 | |
| JPY | Lazard Japanese Equity | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.86 | (0.01) | 1.75 | (1.88) | 4.88 | |
| PYZ | Invesco DWA Basic | 0.83 | 1 per month | 1.46 | 0.11 | 2.50 | (2.49) | 6.90 | |
| KDEF | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.51 | 1 per month | 2.02 | 0.14 | 4.16 | (3.09) | 9.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin FTSE
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin FTSE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin FTSE's price trends.Franklin FTSE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin FTSE etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin FTSE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin FTSE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin FTSE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin FTSE etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin FTSE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin FTSE etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin FTSE Germany entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin FTSE Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin FTSE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin FTSE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6518 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8419 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.815 | |||
| Variance | 0.6642 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9352 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7087 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin FTSE
The number of cover stories for Franklin FTSE depends on current market conditions and Franklin FTSE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin FTSE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin FTSE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin FTSE to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
The market value of Franklin FTSE Germany is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.