Franklin LibertyQ Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FLQL Etf | USD 71.66 0.13 0.18% |
Franklin Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Franklin LibertyQ's share price is at 50. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin LibertyQ, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Franklin LibertyQ hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin LibertyQ Equity from the perspective of Franklin LibertyQ response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Franklin LibertyQ Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 71.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.71. Franklin LibertyQ after-hype prediction price | USD 71.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Franklin LibertyQ Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin LibertyQ Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Franklin LibertyQ Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 71.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin LibertyQ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin LibertyQ Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin LibertyQ | Franklin LibertyQ Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Franklin LibertyQ Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin LibertyQ's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin LibertyQ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.24 and 71.83, respectively. We have considered Franklin LibertyQ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin LibertyQ etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin LibertyQ etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2434 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.7097 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin LibertyQ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin LibertyQ Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin LibertyQ After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin LibertyQ at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin LibertyQ or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Franklin LibertyQ, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin LibertyQ Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin LibertyQ's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin LibertyQ's historical news coverage. Franklin LibertyQ's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.87 and 72.45, respectively. We have considered Franklin LibertyQ's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin LibertyQ is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin LibertyQ Equity is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin LibertyQ Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Franklin LibertyQ is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin LibertyQ backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin LibertyQ, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.66 | 71.66 | 0.00 |
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Franklin LibertyQ Hype Timeline
Franklin LibertyQ Equity is currently traded for 71.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Franklin is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin LibertyQ is about 1600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.66. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin LibertyQ to cross-verify your projections.Franklin LibertyQ Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin LibertyQ's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin LibertyQ's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin LibertyQ's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin LibertyQ may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLQM | Franklin LibertyQ Mid | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.61 | 0.01 | 1.39 | (1.02) | 4.04 | |
| IDU | iShares Utilities ETF | (1.34) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.14 | (1.28) | 3.62 | |
| IYJ | iShares Industrials ETF | 1.48 | 4 per month | 0.83 | (0.01) | 1.67 | (1.34) | 4.14 | |
| JPEF | JPMorgan Equity Focus | (1.38) | 15 per month | 0.78 | (0.07) | 1.02 | (1.21) | 3.90 | |
| IAI | iShares Broker Dealers Securities | 1.44 | 5 per month | 1.13 | 0.04 | 1.58 | (2.14) | 6.26 | |
| FXU | First Trust Utilities | (0.71) | 27 per month | 0.81 | (0.09) | 1.03 | (1.21) | 3.28 | |
| AOM | iShares Core Moderate | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.27 | (0.09) | 0.59 | (0.49) | 1.71 | |
| EWA | iShares MSCI Australia | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.01 | 1.39 | (1.37) | 3.80 | |
| JMOM | JPMorgan Momentum Factor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.01) | 1.27 | (1.64) | 3.63 | |
| DGS | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.40 | 0.14 | 1.06 | (1.02) | 2.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin LibertyQ
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin LibertyQ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin LibertyQ's price trends.Franklin LibertyQ Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin LibertyQ etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin LibertyQ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin LibertyQ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin LibertyQ Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin LibertyQ etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin LibertyQ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin LibertyQ etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin LibertyQ Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin LibertyQ Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin LibertyQ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin LibertyQ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5951 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.834 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7888 | |||
| Variance | 0.6222 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8248 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6955 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.58) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin LibertyQ
The number of cover stories for Franklin LibertyQ depends on current market conditions and Franklin LibertyQ's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin LibertyQ is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin LibertyQ's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin LibertyQ to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Franklin LibertyQ Equity's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Franklin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Franklin LibertyQ's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Franklin LibertyQ's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin LibertyQ's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin LibertyQ is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin LibertyQ's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.