Flowsparks Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FLSP Stock | 21.00 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Flowsparks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flowsparks NV from the perspective of Flowsparks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flowsparks NV on the next trading day is expected to be 21.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.20. Flowsparks after-hype prediction price | EUR 21.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Flowsparks |
Flowsparks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flowsparks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flowsparks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flowsparks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flowsparks Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flowsparks NV on the next trading day is expected to be 21.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 4.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flowsparks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flowsparks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flowsparks Stock Forecast Pattern
Flowsparks Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flowsparks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flowsparks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.54 and 31.46, respectively. We have considered Flowsparks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flowsparks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flowsparks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0678 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7831 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.2 |
Predictive Modules for Flowsparks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flowsparks NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flowsparks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Flowsparks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flowsparks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flowsparks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flowsparks Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flowsparks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flowsparks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flowsparks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 10.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.00 | 21.00 | 0.00 |
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Flowsparks Hype Timeline
Flowsparks NV is currently traded for 21.00on Euronext Brussels of Belgium. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Flowsparks is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flowsparks is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.00. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.Flowsparks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flowsparks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flowsparks' future price movements. Getting to know how Flowsparks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flowsparks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MIKO | Miko NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.01 | 2.76 | (2.15) | 6.85 | |
| NEWT | Newtree SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.62 | 0.02 | 8.40 | (5.56) | 42.09 | |
| FOU | Fountain | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | (0.02) | 3.33 | (3.18) | 8.99 | |
| COBH | Brouwerij Handelsmaatschappij NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.38 | (2.07) | 8.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flowsparks
For every potential investor in Flowsparks, whether a beginner or expert, Flowsparks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flowsparks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flowsparks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flowsparks' price trends.Flowsparks Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flowsparks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flowsparks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flowsparks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flowsparks Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flowsparks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flowsparks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flowsparks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flowsparks NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flowsparks Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flowsparks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flowsparks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flowsparks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.05 | |||
| Variance | 101.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 483.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 40.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (18.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flowsparks
The number of cover stories for Flowsparks depends on current market conditions and Flowsparks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flowsparks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flowsparks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Flowsparks Stock Analysis
When running Flowsparks' price analysis, check to measure Flowsparks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flowsparks is operating at the current time. Most of Flowsparks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flowsparks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flowsparks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flowsparks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.