Fuelstream Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

FLST Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Fuelstream Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Fuelstream's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fuelstream's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fuelstream, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fuelstream hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fuelstream from the perspective of Fuelstream response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fuelstream on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Fuelstream after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuelstream to cross-verify your projections.

Fuelstream Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fuelstream price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fuelstream using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fuelstream charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fuelstream works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fuelstream Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fuelstream on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuelstream Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuelstream's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fuelstream Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fuelstream  Fuelstream Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fuelstream Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fuelstream's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuelstream's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Fuelstream's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuelstream pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuelstream pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Fuelstream prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fuelstream trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fuelstream observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fuelstream

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuelstream. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuelstream's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Fuelstream After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fuelstream at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fuelstream or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fuelstream, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fuelstream Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fuelstream's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fuelstream's historical news coverage. Fuelstream's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Fuelstream's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Fuelstream is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fuelstream is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fuelstream Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fuelstream is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fuelstream backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fuelstream, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Fuelstream Hype Timeline

Fuelstream is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fuelstream is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fuelstream is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.28. Fuelstream had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:2000 split on the 6th of April 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuelstream to cross-verify your projections.

Fuelstream Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fuelstream's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fuelstream's future price movements. Getting to know how Fuelstream's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fuelstream may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENYNFEnerNorth Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PTRCPetro River Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TIDETidelands Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HDYNQHyperdynamics Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  100.00 
NWOLNorth West Oil Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CERXColombia Energy Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EBODFRenewable Energy Trade 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KKPTKoKo Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NNYRNorthamerican Energy Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  14.29  0.00  587.50 
FLSSForbes Energy Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Fuelstream

For every potential investor in Fuelstream, whether a beginner or expert, Fuelstream's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuelstream Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuelstream. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuelstream's price trends.

Fuelstream Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuelstream pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuelstream could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuelstream by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fuelstream Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuelstream pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuelstream shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuelstream pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuelstream entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Fuelstream

The number of cover stories for Fuelstream depends on current market conditions and Fuelstream's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fuelstream is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fuelstream's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Fuelstream Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Fuelstream's price analysis, check to measure Fuelstream's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fuelstream is operating at the current time. Most of Fuelstream's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fuelstream's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fuelstream's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fuelstream to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.