Flux Power Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FLUX Stock | USD 1.45 0.05 3.33% |
Flux Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Flux Power's share price is approaching 33. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Flux Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.01 | Wall Street Target Price 5.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) |
Using Flux Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flux Power Holdings from the perspective of Flux Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flux Power using Flux Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flux using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flux Power's stock price.
Flux Power Short Interest
An investor who is long Flux Power may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Flux Power and may potentially protect profits, hedge Flux Power with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.1723 | Short Percent 0.0459 | Short Ratio 2.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 444.7 K | 50 Day MA 1.547 |
Flux Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flux Power Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.47.Flux Power Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flux Power's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flux. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flux can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flux Power Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flux Power's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flux Power.
Flux Power Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Flux Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flux Power Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flux Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flux Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flux Power's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flux Power Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.47. Flux Power after-hype prediction price | USD 1.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flux Power to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Flux Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Flux Power's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Flux Power's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Flux Power stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Flux Power's open interest, investors have to compare it to Flux Power's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Flux Power is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Flux. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Flux Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flux price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flux using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flux charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flux Power Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flux Power Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flux Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flux Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flux Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Flux Power | Flux Power Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Flux Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flux Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flux Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.06, respectively. We have considered Flux Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flux Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flux Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0399 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0454 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1061 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0555 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.47 |
Predictive Modules for Flux Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flux Power Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flux Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flux Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flux Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flux Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flux Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flux Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flux Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flux Power's historical news coverage. Flux Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 9.16, respectively. We have considered Flux Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flux Power is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flux Power Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flux Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flux Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flux Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flux Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.21 | 7.61 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.45 | 1.45 | 0.00 |
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Flux Power Hype Timeline
Flux Power Holdings is currently traded for 1.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Flux is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flux Power is about 36238.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.48. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.45. Flux Power Holdings last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 12th of July 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flux Power to cross-verify your projections.Flux Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flux Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flux Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Flux Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flux Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPWR | Ideal Power | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.70 | (9.07) | 36.33 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.10 | 5 per month | 2.50 | 0.08 | 5.43 | (4.04) | 17.85 | |
| CLIR | ClearSign Combustion | 0.10 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.33 | (9.33) | 37.67 | |
| GWH | ESS Tech | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.91 | (9.24) | 61.03 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | (0.15) | 10 per month | 4.10 | 0.03 | 8.30 | (6.91) | 21.83 | |
| APWC | Asia Pacific Wire | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.08 | (4.23) | 14.43 | |
| AP | Ampco Pittsburgh | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.82 | 0.30 | 12.36 | (5.26) | 22.67 | |
| OESX | Orion Energy Systems | (0.03) | 28 per month | 4.47 | 0.16 | 14.72 | (7.43) | 39.21 | |
| HTLM | HomesToLife | 0.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.34 | (9.35) | 26.61 | |
| SDST | Stardust Power | (0.08) | 6 per month | 6.57 | 0.01 | 8.84 | (9.77) | 26.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flux Power
For every potential investor in Flux, whether a beginner or expert, Flux Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flux Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flux. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flux Power's price trends.Flux Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flux Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flux Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flux Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flux Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flux Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flux Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flux Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flux Power Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flux Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flux Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flux Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flux stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.91 | |||
| Variance | 62.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flux Power
The number of cover stories for Flux Power depends on current market conditions and Flux Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flux Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flux Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flux Power Short Properties
Flux Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flux Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flux Power Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flux Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flux Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 M |
Additional Tools for Flux Stock Analysis
When running Flux Power's price analysis, check to measure Flux Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flux Power is operating at the current time. Most of Flux Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flux Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flux Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flux Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.