Fly E Stock Forward View

FLYE Stock  USD 2.89  0.09  3.21%   
Fly Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fly E stock prices and determine the direction of Fly E Group Common's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Fly E's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Fly E's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fly E's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fly E and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fly E's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fly E Group Common, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fly E's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
18.624
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Using Fly E hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fly E Group Common from the perspective of Fly E response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fly E Group Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.31.

Fly E after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fly E to cross-verify your projections.

Fly E Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Fly E Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Fly E's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
966.1 K
Current Value
824.3 K
Quarterly Volatility
294 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Fly E is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fly E Group Common value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fly E Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fly E Group Common on the next trading day is expected to be 1.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 2.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fly E's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fly E Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fly E  Fly E Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fly E Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fly E's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fly E's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 35.97, respectively. We have considered Fly E's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.89
1.61
Expected Value
35.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fly E stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fly E stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8123
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9405
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1615
SAESum of the absolute errors58.3124
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fly E Group Common. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fly E. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fly E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fly E Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fly E's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.4236.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.7737.13
Details

Fly E After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fly E at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fly E or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fly E, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fly E Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fly E's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fly E's historical news coverage. Fly E's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 36.78, respectively. We have considered Fly E's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.89
2.42
After-hype Price
36.78
Upside
Fly E is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fly E Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fly E Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fly E is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fly E backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fly E, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.94 
34.36
  0.47 
  0.04 
4 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.89
2.42
16.26 
14,317  
Notes

Fly E Hype Timeline

Fly E Group is currently traded for 2.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Fly is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.94%. The volatility of related hype on Fly E is about 156181.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.93. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fly E Group recorded a loss per share of 22.98. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 4th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fly E to cross-verify your projections.

Fly E Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fly E's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fly E's future price movements. Getting to know how Fly E's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fly E may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WKHSWorkhorse Group 0.08 22 per month 0.00 (0.14) 10.78 (9.36) 56.82 
CENNCenntro Electric Group 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.04) 13.33 (6.67) 24.81 
XELBXcel Brands 0.09 8 per month 5.18  0.13  11.20 (10.19) 31.14 
LOBOLOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES 0.02 7 per month 8.73 (0) 13.64 (9.59) 47.21 
AIEVThunder Power Holdings 0.00 0 per month 13.97  0.09  46.15 (27.78) 138.46 
YJYunji Inc(0.01)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.99 (7.53) 30.41 
ECDAECD Automotive Design(0.10)8 per month 0.00 (0.31) 17.65 (27.61) 138.90 
ATERAterian(0.04)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.69 (7.46) 28.48 
DSSDSS Inc 0.17 6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 12.77 (7.02) 50.17 
UCARU Power Limited 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.23) 4.64 (6.43) 19.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Fly E

For every potential investor in Fly, whether a beginner or expert, Fly E's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fly E's price trends.

Fly E Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fly E stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fly E could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fly E by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fly E Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fly E stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fly E shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fly E stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fly E Group Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fly E Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fly E's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fly E's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fly E

The number of cover stories for Fly E depends on current market conditions and Fly E's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fly E is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fly E's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fly E Short Properties

Fly E's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fly E's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fly E Group Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fly E's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fly E's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments840.1 K
When determining whether Fly E Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fly E's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fly E's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fly Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fly E to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Fly diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fly E. Market participants price Fly higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fly E data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
18.624
Earnings Share
(22.98)
Revenue Per Share
48.619
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.10)
The market value of Fly E Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fly E's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fly E's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Fly E's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fly E's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fly E's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fly E is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Fly E's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.