Farmers OTC Stock Forward View

FMBL Stock  USD 8,443  32.98  0.39%   
Farmers OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Farmers' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Farmers And Merchants stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Farmers shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Farmers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Farmers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Farmers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Farmers And Merchants, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Farmers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmers And Merchants from the perspective of Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Farmers And Merchants on the next trading day is expected to be 8,488 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,424.

Farmers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8442.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Farmers to cross-verify your projections.

Farmers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Farmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Farmers is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Farmers And Merchants value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Farmers Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Farmers And Merchants on the next trading day is expected to be 8,488 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.97, mean absolute percentage error of 948.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,424.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Farmers OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Farmers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Farmers OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Farmers  Farmers Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Farmers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Farmers' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Farmers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8,488 and 8,489, respectively. We have considered Farmers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8,443
8,488
Expected Value
8,489
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Farmers otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Farmers otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.803
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation22.9701
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0028
SAESum of the absolute errors1424.1486
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Farmers And Merchants. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Farmers. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Farmers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers And Merchants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,4438,4438,443
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,2698,2699,287
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8,2258,3188,411
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers And Merchants.

Farmers After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Farmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Farmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Farmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Farmers' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmers' historical news coverage. Farmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8,443 and 8,443, respectively. We have considered Farmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8,443
8,443
After-hype Price
8,443
Upside
Farmers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmers And Merchants is based on 3 months time horizon.

Farmers OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Farmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
0.46
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8,443
8,443
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Farmers Hype Timeline

Farmers And Merchants is currently traded for 8,443. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Farmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmers is about 230.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8,443. About 14.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmers And Merchants recorded earning per share (EPS) of 880.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Farmers to cross-verify your projections.

Farmers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Farmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmers' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Farmers

For every potential investor in Farmers, whether a beginner or expert, Farmers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Farmers OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Farmers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Farmers' price trends.

Farmers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Farmers otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Farmers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Farmers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Farmers otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Farmers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Farmers otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Farmers And Merchants entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Farmers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Farmers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Farmers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting farmers otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Farmers

The number of cover stories for Farmers depends on current market conditions and Farmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Farmers OTC Stock

Farmers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers security.