FM Mattsson Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FMM-B Stock  SEK 51.40  1.00  1.91%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FM Mattsson Mora on the next trading day is expected to be 51.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.91. FMM-B Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for FM Mattsson - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When FM Mattsson prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in FM Mattsson price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of FM Mattsson Mora.

FM Mattsson Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FM Mattsson Mora on the next trading day is expected to be 51.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FMM-B Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FM Mattsson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FM Mattsson Stock Forecast Pattern

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FM Mattsson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FM Mattsson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FM Mattsson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.77 and 53.52, respectively. We have considered FM Mattsson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.40
51.65
Expected Value
53.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FM Mattsson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FM Mattsson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0117
MADMean absolute deviation0.6425
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors37.908
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past FM Mattsson observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older FM Mattsson Mora observations.

Predictive Modules for FM Mattsson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FM Mattsson Mora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.5351.4053.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.1343.0056.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.7751.7952.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FM Mattsson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FM Mattsson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FM Mattsson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FM Mattsson Mora.

Other Forecasting Options for FM Mattsson

For every potential investor in FMM-B, whether a beginner or expert, FM Mattsson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FMM-B Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FMM-B. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FM Mattsson's price trends.

FM Mattsson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FM Mattsson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FM Mattsson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FM Mattsson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FM Mattsson Mora Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FM Mattsson's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FM Mattsson's current price.

FM Mattsson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FM Mattsson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FM Mattsson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FM Mattsson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FM Mattsson Mora entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FM Mattsson Risk Indicators

The analysis of FM Mattsson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FM Mattsson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fmm-b stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for FMM-B Stock Analysis

When running FM Mattsson's price analysis, check to measure FM Mattsson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FM Mattsson is operating at the current time. Most of FM Mattsson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FM Mattsson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FM Mattsson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FM Mattsson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.