MarketDesk Focused Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| FMTM Etf | 35.04 0.35 0.99% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MarketDesk Focused Momentum on the next trading day is expected to be 34.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.57. MarketDesk Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of MarketDesk Focused's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MarketDesk Focused hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MarketDesk Focused Momentum from the perspective of MarketDesk Focused response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MarketDesk Focused Momentum on the next trading day is expected to be 34.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.57. MarketDesk Focused after-hype prediction price | USD 35.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MarketDesk | Build AI portfolio with MarketDesk Etf |
MarketDesk Focused Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MarketDesk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MarketDesk using various technical indicators. When you analyze MarketDesk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MarketDesk Focused Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MarketDesk Focused Momentum on the next trading day is expected to be 34.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MarketDesk Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MarketDesk Focused's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MarketDesk Focused Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MarketDesk Focused | MarketDesk Focused Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MarketDesk Focused Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MarketDesk Focused's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MarketDesk Focused's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.89 and 36.13, respectively. We have considered MarketDesk Focused's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MarketDesk Focused etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MarketDesk Focused etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5586 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6866 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0214 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.5716 |
Predictive Modules for MarketDesk Focused
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MarketDesk Focused. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MarketDesk Focused's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MarketDesk Focused After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MarketDesk Focused at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MarketDesk Focused or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of MarketDesk Focused, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MarketDesk Focused Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MarketDesk Focused's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MarketDesk Focused's historical news coverage. MarketDesk Focused's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.45 and 36.69, respectively. We have considered MarketDesk Focused's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MarketDesk Focused is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MarketDesk Focused is based on 3 months time horizon.
MarketDesk Focused Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as MarketDesk Focused is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MarketDesk Focused backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MarketDesk Focused, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.04 | 35.07 | 0.06 |
|
MarketDesk Focused Hype Timeline
MarketDesk Focused is currently traded for 35.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.59. MarketDesk is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on MarketDesk Focused is about 57.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.63. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MarketDesk Focused to cross-verify your projections.MarketDesk Focused Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MarketDesk Focused's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MarketDesk Focused's future price movements. Getting to know how MarketDesk Focused's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MarketDesk Focused may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QXQ | SGI Enhanced Nasdaq 100 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.03) | 1.37 | (1.99) | 4.87 | |
| PXI | Invesco DWA Energy | 9.70 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.01 | 1.91 | (1.88) | 5.61 | |
| RSMV | Listed Funds Trust | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.51 | 0 | 1.01 | (1.06) | 2.96 | |
| ATFV | Alger 35 ETF | (0.05) | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.04) | 2.28 | (2.73) | 7.06 | |
| EDGU | The Advisors Inner | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.82 | (0.01) | 1.19 | (1.50) | 3.35 | |
| TLCI | Touchstone ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | (0.08) | 0.94 | (0.99) | 3.18 | |
| BLCN | Siren Nasdaq NexGen | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.44 | (3.46) | 13.69 | |
| XMAG | Defiance Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0.07) | 1.03 | (1.01) | 2.79 | |
| EMCR | Xtrackers Emerging Markets | 18.28 | 1 per month | 0.61 | 0.06 | 1.56 | (1.26) | 3.51 | |
| REIT | ALPS Active REIT | 0.06 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.84 | (1.22) | 2.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for MarketDesk Focused
For every potential investor in MarketDesk, whether a beginner or expert, MarketDesk Focused's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MarketDesk Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MarketDesk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MarketDesk Focused's price trends.MarketDesk Focused Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MarketDesk Focused etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MarketDesk Focused could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MarketDesk Focused by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MarketDesk Focused Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MarketDesk Focused etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MarketDesk Focused shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MarketDesk Focused etf market strength indicators, traders can identify MarketDesk Focused Momentum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 80.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.35) |
MarketDesk Focused Risk Indicators
The analysis of MarketDesk Focused's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MarketDesk Focused's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marketdesk etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MarketDesk Focused
The number of cover stories for MarketDesk Focused depends on current market conditions and MarketDesk Focused's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MarketDesk Focused is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MarketDesk Focused's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MarketDesk Focused to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
The market value of MarketDesk Focused is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MarketDesk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MarketDesk Focused's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MarketDesk Focused's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MarketDesk Focused's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MarketDesk Focused's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MarketDesk Focused's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MarketDesk Focused is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MarketDesk Focused's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.