Fnac Darty Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

FNAC Stock  EUR 35.20  -0.05  -0.14%   
20 Period Moving Average is applied to Fnac Darty SA's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Fnac Darty at 35.26 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
The 20-period moving average forecast for Fnac Darty SA replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the 20 preceding closing prices. This is a widely used smoothing window that spans approximately one month of trading data.

20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Fnac Darty at 35.26 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0035 , and sum of absolute errors of 5.24 .
This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Fnac Darty's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The projected range for Fnac Darty reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The forecast band spans 35.05 to 35.47. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Market Value
35.20
35.26
Expected Value
35.47

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Fnac Darty stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.4123
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0215
MADMean absolute deviation0.1247
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0035
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2375
The broader window aggressively filters short-term noise in Fnac Darty price data, producing a smooth trend line. This makes it useful for identifying the prevailing direction of Fnac Darty SA prices but slow to respond to reversals. The model is reliable only for very short-term projections (one to two periods).

Other Forecasting Options for Fnac Darty

Fnac Darty's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Fnac Darty often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Fnac Darty Stock data examines overnight jumps between Fnac Darty's closing and opening prices.

Fnac Darty Related Equities

Sizing up Fnac Darty against these stocks within the Consumer Discretionary space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Checking Fnac Darty against peers on P/E, margins, and return on equity helps put its position in context. How Fnac Darty ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. The data below allows side-by-side review across the most common financial metrics.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fnac Darty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Fnac Darty stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Fnac Darty. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Fnac Darty sessions.

Fnac Darty Risk Indicators

Assessing Fnac Darty's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for fnac darty stock. The level of risk embedded in Fnac Darty's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Fnac Darty's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Fnac Darty Short Properties

Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Fnac Darty is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.68 million
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 billion

More Resources for Fnac Darty Stock Analysis

Financial ratios for Fnac Darty show relationships between important financial metrics. The figures shown are derived from the most recent reporting inputs available.