MicroSectors FANG Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FNGS Etf | USD 66.48 0.77 1.14% |
MicroSectors Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of MicroSectors FANG's share price is approaching 41. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MicroSectors FANG, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MicroSectors FANG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MicroSectors FANG ETN from the perspective of MicroSectors FANG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MicroSectors FANG using MicroSectors FANG's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MicroSectors using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MicroSectors FANG's stock price.
MicroSectors FANG Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
MicroSectors FANG's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MicroSectors FANG ETN stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MicroSectors FANG's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MicroSectors FANG stock will not fluctuate a lot when MicroSectors FANG's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MicroSectors FANG ETN on the next trading day is expected to be 66.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.05. MicroSectors FANG after-hype prediction price | USD 66.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MicroSectors contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MicroSectors FANG ETN will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MicroSectors FANG trading at USD 66.48, that is roughly USD 0.0116 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MicroSectors FANG's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MicroSectors FANG ETN options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 MicroSectors Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MicroSectors FANG's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MicroSectors FANG's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MicroSectors FANG stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MicroSectors FANG's open interest, investors have to compare it to MicroSectors FANG's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MicroSectors FANG is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MicroSectors. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MicroSectors FANG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MicroSectors price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MicroSectors using various technical indicators. When you analyze MicroSectors charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MicroSectors FANG Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MicroSectors FANG ETN on the next trading day is expected to be 66.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MicroSectors Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MicroSectors FANG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MicroSectors FANG Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MicroSectors FANG | MicroSectors FANG Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MicroSectors FANG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MicroSectors FANG's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MicroSectors FANG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.30 and 67.66, respectively. We have considered MicroSectors FANG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MicroSectors FANG etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MicroSectors FANG etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6868 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.107 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.591 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.05 |
Predictive Modules for MicroSectors FANG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MicroSectors FANG ETN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MicroSectors FANG After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MicroSectors FANG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MicroSectors FANG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of MicroSectors FANG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MicroSectors FANG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MicroSectors FANG's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MicroSectors FANG's historical news coverage. MicroSectors FANG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.31 and 67.65, respectively. We have considered MicroSectors FANG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MicroSectors FANG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MicroSectors FANG ETN is based on 3 months time horizon.
MicroSectors FANG Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as MicroSectors FANG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MicroSectors FANG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MicroSectors FANG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.18 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
66.48 | 66.48 | 0.00 |
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MicroSectors FANG Hype Timeline
MicroSectors FANG ETN is currently traded for 66.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. MicroSectors is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on MicroSectors FANG is about 392.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MicroSectors FANG to cross-verify your projections.MicroSectors FANG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MicroSectors FANG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MicroSectors FANG's future price movements. Getting to know how MicroSectors FANG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MicroSectors FANG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QCLN | First Trust NASDAQ | 1.47 | 3 per month | 1.90 | 0.08 | 3.13 | (2.95) | 11.79 | |
| FNGO | MicroSectors FANG Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.19 | (4.25) | 13.12 | |
| FCTE | SMI 3Fourteen Full Cycle | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.03 | 1.64 | (1.56) | 3.89 | |
| SOXQ | Invesco PHLX Semiconductor | (0.67) | 3 per month | 1.89 | 0.11 | 3.11 | (3.69) | 9.71 | |
| PSFF | Pacer Funds Trust | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.13 | (0.06) | 0.56 | (0.37) | 1.53 | |
| PTL | Northern Lights | 0.62 | 7 per month | 0.99 | (0.02) | 1.27 | (1.79) | 5.13 | |
| SGDM | Sprott Gold Miners | 1.30 | 4 per month | 1.81 | 0.24 | 4.65 | (3.88) | 11.03 | |
| OSEA | Harbor ETF Trust | 0.36 | 3 per month | 0.81 | (0.06) | 1.09 | (1.35) | 3.57 | |
| ROUS | Hartford Multifactor Equity | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.61 | 0.04 | 1.25 | (1.34) | 2.72 | |
| PBW | Invesco WilderHill Clean | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.47 | 0.06 | 4.17 | (4.45) | 11.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for MicroSectors FANG
For every potential investor in MicroSectors, whether a beginner or expert, MicroSectors FANG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MicroSectors Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MicroSectors. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MicroSectors FANG's price trends.MicroSectors FANG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MicroSectors FANG etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MicroSectors FANG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MicroSectors FANG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MicroSectors FANG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MicroSectors FANG etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MicroSectors FANG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MicroSectors FANG etf market strength indicators, traders can identify MicroSectors FANG ETN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2469.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 66.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.58 |
MicroSectors FANG Risk Indicators
The analysis of MicroSectors FANG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MicroSectors FANG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting microsectors etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8865 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MicroSectors FANG
The number of cover stories for MicroSectors FANG depends on current market conditions and MicroSectors FANG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MicroSectors FANG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MicroSectors FANG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MicroSectors FANG to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Investors evaluate MicroSectors FANG ETN using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MicroSectors FANG's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MicroSectors FANG's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroSectors FANG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroSectors FANG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, MicroSectors FANG's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.