Falcon Oil Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FOLGF Stock | USD 0.19 0.01 5.56% |
Falcon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Falcon Oil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Falcon Oil's share price is above 70 as of 29th of January 2026. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Falcon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Falcon Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Falcon Oil Gas from the perspective of Falcon Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Falcon Oil Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21. Falcon Oil after-hype prediction price | USD 0.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Falcon |
Falcon Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Falcon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Falcon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Falcon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Falcon Oil Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Falcon Oil Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Falcon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Falcon Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Falcon Oil Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Falcon Oil | Falcon Oil Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Falcon Oil Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Falcon Oil's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Falcon Oil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.61, respectively. We have considered Falcon Oil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Falcon Oil pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Falcon Oil pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.1768 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0034 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0225 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2111 |
Predictive Modules for Falcon Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Falcon Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Falcon Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Falcon Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Falcon Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Falcon Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Falcon Oil's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Falcon Oil's historical news coverage. Falcon Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.70, respectively. We have considered Falcon Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Falcon Oil is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Falcon Oil Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Falcon Oil Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Falcon Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Falcon Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Falcon Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 3.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.19 | 0.19 | 0.00 |
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Falcon Oil Hype Timeline
Falcon Oil Gas is currently traded for 0.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Falcon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. %. The volatility of related hype on Falcon Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.19. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.89. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Falcon Oil Gas recorded a loss per share of 0.0. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Falcon Oil to cross-verify your projections.Falcon Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Falcon Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Falcon Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Falcon Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Falcon Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DTNOY | DNO ASA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.62 | |
| SEUSF | Sintana Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.38 | (7.50) | 28.48 | |
| GEGYY | Genel Energy PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.35 | |
| PTRUF | Petrus Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.12 | 3.60 | (3.60) | 10.43 | |
| CVONF | Carnarvon Petroleum Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RUBLF | Rubellite Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.07 | 3.39 | (2.84) | 15.65 | |
| BDRSF | Borders Southern Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 7.14 | 0.00 | 78.57 | |
| RGPMF | Enwell Energy plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STGAF | Afentra PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | (4.62) | 16.67 | |
| HMENF | Hemisphere Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.02 | 2.94 | (2.70) | 15.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Falcon Oil
For every potential investor in Falcon, whether a beginner or expert, Falcon Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Falcon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Falcon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Falcon Oil's price trends.Falcon Oil Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Falcon Oil pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Falcon Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Falcon Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Falcon Oil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Falcon Oil pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Falcon Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Falcon Oil pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Falcon Oil Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.79 |
Falcon Oil Risk Indicators
The analysis of Falcon Oil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Falcon Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting falcon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.68 | |||
| Variance | 13.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 54.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Falcon Oil
The number of cover stories for Falcon Oil depends on current market conditions and Falcon Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Falcon Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Falcon Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Falcon Oil Short Properties
Falcon Oil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Falcon Oil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Falcon Oil Gas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Falcon Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Falcon Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 981.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 840.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Falcon Pink Sheet
Falcon Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falcon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falcon with respect to the benefits of owning Falcon Oil security.