Pacer Solactive Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FOWF Etf | 33.68 0.28 0.82% |
Pacer Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pacer Solactive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Pacer Solactive's etf price is roughly 63. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pacer, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pacer Solactive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacer Solactive Whitney from the perspective of Pacer Solactive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacer Solactive Whitney on the next trading day is expected to be 33.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55. Pacer Solactive after-hype prediction price | USD 33.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out fundamental analysis of Pacer Solactive to check your projections. Pacer Solactive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pacer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pacer Solactive Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacer Solactive Whitney on the next trading day is expected to be 33.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacer Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacer Solactive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pacer Solactive Etf Forecast Pattern
Pacer Solactive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pacer Solactive's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacer Solactive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.85 and 34.51, respectively. We have considered Pacer Solactive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacer Solactive etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacer Solactive etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6095 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0388 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2092 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.55 |
Predictive Modules for Pacer Solactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacer Solactive Whitney. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pacer Solactive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pacer Solactive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Pacer Solactive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacer Solactive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Pacer Solactive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pacer Solactive Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Pacer Solactive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacer Solactive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacer Solactive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.83 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.68 | 33.67 | 0.03 |
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Pacer Solactive Hype Timeline
Pacer Solactive Whitney is currently traded for 33.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Pacer is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Pacer Solactive is about 249.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.64. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out fundamental analysis of Pacer Solactive to check your projections.Pacer Solactive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pacer Solactive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacer Solactive's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacer Solactive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacer Solactive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETEC | iShares Breakthrough Environmental | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 1.88 | (2.04) | 5.26 | |
| USNG | Amplify Samsung Natural | (4.29) | 13 per month | 0.87 | 0.06 | 1.55 | (1.54) | 4.27 | |
| SOLR | Guinness Atkinson Funds | 0.22 | 2 per month | 1.19 | 0.03 | 1.75 | (2.08) | 4.73 | |
| XVOL | Acruence Active Hedge | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.76 | (0.03) | 1.56 | (1.21) | 3.79 | |
| ITDJ | iShares Trust | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.01 | 1.01 | (1.18) | 3.10 | |
| IBRN | iShares Trust | 0.74 | 3 per month | 1.10 | 0.1 | 2.81 | (1.68) | 6.67 | |
| EPMB | Harbor ETF Trust | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.52 | 0.11 | 1.83 | (1.07) | 3.48 | |
| LGHT | Spinnaker ETF Series | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.74 | (1.56) | 4.62 | |
| PQOC | PGIM Nasdaq 100 Buffer | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.55 | (0.05) | 0.84 | (1.06) | 2.80 | |
| DYLG | Global X Funds | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.94 | (0.58) | 2.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pacer Solactive
For every potential investor in Pacer, whether a beginner or expert, Pacer Solactive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacer Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacer Solactive's price trends.Pacer Solactive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacer Solactive etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacer Solactive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacer Solactive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pacer Solactive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacer Solactive etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacer Solactive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacer Solactive etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacer Solactive Whitney entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.52 |
Pacer Solactive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pacer Solactive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacer Solactive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacer etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6413 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6175 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8202 | |||
| Variance | 0.6727 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6878 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3814 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.72) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pacer Solactive
The number of cover stories for Pacer Solactive depends on current market conditions and Pacer Solactive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacer Solactive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacer Solactive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of Pacer Solactive to check your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
The market value of Pacer Solactive Whitney is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pacer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pacer Solactive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pacer Solactive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pacer Solactive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pacer Solactive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacer Solactive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pacer Solactive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacer Solactive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.