Fox Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FOXA Stock | USD 56.16 1.01 1.77% |
Fox Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fox Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Fox Corp Class's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Fox Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Fox Corp's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fox Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fox Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fox Corp Class from the perspective of Fox Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fox Corp Class on the next trading day is expected to be 56.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.32. Fox Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 56.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fox Corp to cross-verify your projections. Fox Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fox Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fox Corp Class on the next trading day is expected to be 56.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 2.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fox Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fox Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fox Corp | Fox Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fox Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fox Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fox Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.95 and 58.38, respectively. We have considered Fox Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fox Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fox Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2291 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0394 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.325 |
Predictive Modules for Fox Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fox Corp Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fox Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fox Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fox Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fox Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fox Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fox Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fox Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fox Corp's historical news coverage. Fox Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.30 and 57.74, respectively. We have considered Fox Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fox Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fox Corp Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fox Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fox Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fox Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fox Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.16 | 56.02 | 0.23 |
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Fox Corp Hype Timeline
Fox Corp Class is currently traded for 56.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.25. Fox is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Fox Corp is about 172.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.41. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fox Corp was currently reported as 25.7. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of March 2026. Fox Corp Class had 1:1 split on the 2nd of July 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fox Corp to cross-verify your projections.Fox Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fox Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fox Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Fox Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fox Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHTR | Charter Communications | 8.85 | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.06 | 4.26 | (3.22) | 10.49 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.14 | 3.53 | (2.28) | 8.17 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.24 | 3.02 | (2.32) | 10.24 | |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.14 | 3.14 | (2.51) | 9.33 | |
| TEF | Telefonica SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.01 | 3.03 | (2.43) | 9.25 | |
| PINS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.76 | (5.59) | 19.73 | ||
| CHT | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | (0.05) | 0.83 | (1.14) | 2.82 | |
| NBIS | Nebius Group NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.79 | 0.09 | 9.60 | (8.40) | 24.90 | |
| TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.12 | 5 per month | 2.67 | (0.01) | 2.94 | (2.90) | 17.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fox Corp
For every potential investor in Fox, whether a beginner or expert, Fox Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fox Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fox. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fox Corp's price trends.Fox Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fox Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fox Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fox Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fox Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fox Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fox Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fox Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fox Corp Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 47208.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 56.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 56.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.85) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.89 |
Fox Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fox Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fox Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fox stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fox Corp
The number of cover stories for Fox Corp depends on current market conditions and Fox Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fox Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fox Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fox Corp Short Properties
Fox Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fox Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fox Corp Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fox Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fox Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 461 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fox Corp to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fox Corp. Market participants price Fox higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fox Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Fox Corp Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fox Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fox Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fox Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fox Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fox Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fox Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Fox Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.