First Physicians Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FPCG Stock  USD 1,025  0.00  0.00%   
First Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Physicians' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of First Physicians' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Physicians' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Physicians and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Physicians' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Physicians Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Physicians hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Physicians Capital from the perspective of First Physicians response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Physicians Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 1,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

First Physicians after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1025.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Physicians to cross-verify your projections.

First Physicians Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
First Physicians simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for First Physicians Capital are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as First Physicians Capital prices get older.

First Physicians Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Physicians Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 1,025 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Physicians' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Physicians Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest First Physicians  First Physicians Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

First Physicians Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Physicians' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Physicians' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,025 and 1,025, respectively. We have considered First Physicians' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,025
1,025
Expected Value
1,025
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Physicians pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Physicians pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting First Physicians Capital forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent First Physicians observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for First Physicians

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Physicians Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Physicians' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0251,0251,025
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0251,0251,025
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,0251,0251,025
Details

First Physicians After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Physicians at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Physicians or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Physicians, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Physicians Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Physicians' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Physicians' historical news coverage. First Physicians' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,025 and 1,025, respectively. We have considered First Physicians' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,025
1,025
After-hype Price
1,025
Upside
First Physicians is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Physicians Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Physicians Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Physicians is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Physicians backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Physicians, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,025
1,025
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Physicians Hype Timeline

First Physicians Capital is currently traded for 1,025. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Physicians is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,025. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Physicians Capital recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10991.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of May 2022. The firm had 1:2000 split on the 27th of October 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Physicians to cross-verify your projections.

First Physicians Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Physicians' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Physicians' future price movements. Getting to know how First Physicians' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Physicians may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SPLTFSpotLite360 Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OXBOFOxford BioDynamics Plc 0 8 per month 12.09  0  0.00 (36.36) 150.00 
MDBIFMedibio Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.00  0.00  84.08 
ANPCYAngle PLC ADR 0.12 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 34.78 (26.67) 145.07 
MMJJFMMJ Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.00 (0.47) 14.08 
NYMXFNymox Pharmaceutical 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 36.36 (23.42) 68.44 
UDOCFUnidoc Health Corp 0 10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 15.38 (15.38) 48.08 
TRUFFRed Light Holland 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.10) 14.29 (12.50) 34.84 
ECGSEco Growth Strategies 0.00 0 per month 18.13 (0.0005) 36.00 (27.69) 153.46 
DVHGFDevonian Health Group 0 16 per month 0.00  0.17  0.00  0.00  6,004 

Other Forecasting Options for First Physicians

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Physicians' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Physicians' price trends.

First Physicians Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Physicians pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Physicians could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Physicians by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Physicians Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Physicians pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Physicians shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Physicians pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Physicians Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for First Physicians

The number of cover stories for First Physicians depends on current market conditions and First Physicians' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Physicians is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Physicians' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet

First Physicians financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Physicians security.