Fundamenta Real Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

FREN Stock  CHF 18.95  0.05  0.26%   
Fundamenta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Fundamenta Real's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fundamenta Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fundamenta Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fundamenta Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fundamenta Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fundamenta Real's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.361
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
Using Fundamenta Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fundamenta Real Estate from the perspective of Fundamenta Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fundamenta Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 18.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.27.

Fundamenta Real after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 18.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fundamenta Real to cross-verify your projections.

Fundamenta Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fundamenta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fundamenta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fundamenta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Fundamenta Real price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Fundamenta Real Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fundamenta Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 18.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fundamenta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fundamenta Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fundamenta Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fundamenta Real  Fundamenta Real Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fundamenta Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fundamenta Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fundamenta Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.16 and 19.39, respectively. We have considered Fundamenta Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.95
18.77
Expected Value
19.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fundamenta Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fundamenta Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.633
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2785
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2661
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Fundamenta Real Estate historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Fundamenta Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamenta Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3518.9619.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9318.5419.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.150.15
Details

Fundamenta Real After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fundamenta Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fundamenta Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fundamenta Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fundamenta Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fundamenta Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fundamenta Real's historical news coverage. Fundamenta Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.35 and 19.57, respectively. We have considered Fundamenta Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.95
18.96
After-hype Price
19.57
Upside
Fundamenta Real is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fundamenta Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fundamenta Real Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fundamenta Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fundamenta Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fundamenta Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
0.61
  0.01 
  0.27 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.95
18.96
0.05 
1,220  
Notes

Fundamenta Real Hype Timeline

Fundamenta Real Estate is currently traded for 18.95on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Fundamenta is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Fundamenta Real is about 27.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.68. The company reported the revenue of 41.85 M. Net Income was 30.49 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.26 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fundamenta Real to cross-verify your projections.

Fundamenta Real Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fundamenta Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fundamenta Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Fundamenta Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fundamenta Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WARNWarteck Invest(10.00)4 per month 0.34 (0.08) 1.04 (0.76) 2.07 
SFPNSF Urban Properties(0.20)4 per month 0.37  0.05  1.02 (0.93) 5.23 
NRENNovavest Real Estate 0.40 5 per month 0.37 (0.02) 1.01 (1.00) 2.53 
PEANPeach Property Group(0.30)1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.40 (2.17) 6.56 
PLANPlazza AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  0.75 (0.46) 2.35 
ZUBNZueblin Immobilien Holding 0.00 0 per month 2.36 (0) 4.07 (4.29) 13.57 
VARNVaria Properties 0.20 4 per month 1.46 (0.03) 3.70 (2.70) 12.58 
ZUGNZug Estates Holding(10.00)4 per month 1.03  0.10  2.24 (1.85) 5.95 
HIAGHIAG Immobilien Holding(0.20)7 per month 0.79  0.13  2.23 (1.56) 4.70 

Other Forecasting Options for Fundamenta Real

For every potential investor in Fundamenta, whether a beginner or expert, Fundamenta Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fundamenta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fundamenta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fundamenta Real's price trends.

Fundamenta Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fundamenta Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fundamenta Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fundamenta Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fundamenta Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fundamenta Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fundamenta Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fundamenta Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fundamenta Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fundamenta Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fundamenta Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fundamenta Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundamenta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fundamenta Real

The number of cover stories for Fundamenta Real depends on current market conditions and Fundamenta Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fundamenta Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fundamenta Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Fundamenta Real Short Properties

Fundamenta Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fundamenta Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fundamenta Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fundamenta Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundamenta Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 M

Additional Tools for Fundamenta Stock Analysis

When running Fundamenta Real's price analysis, check to measure Fundamenta Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fundamenta Real is operating at the current time. Most of Fundamenta Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fundamenta Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fundamenta Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fundamenta Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.