First Robinson Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

FRFC Stock  USD 41.41  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Robinson Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 41.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.58. First Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast First Robinson stock prices and determine the direction of First Robinson Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Robinson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for First Robinson Financial is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

First Robinson 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Robinson Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 41.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 1.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Robinson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Robinson Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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First Robinson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Robinson's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Robinson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.44 and 43.38, respectively. We have considered First Robinson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.41
41.41
Expected Value
43.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Robinson pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Robinson pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7948
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1483
MADMean absolute deviation0.5014
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0122
SAESum of the absolute errors28.5775
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of First Robinson. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for First Robinson Financial and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for First Robinson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Robinson Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.4441.4143.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.3433.3145.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
40.9541.2441.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Robinson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Robinson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Robinson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Robinson Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for First Robinson

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Robinson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Robinson's price trends.

First Robinson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Robinson pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Robinson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Robinson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Robinson Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Robinson's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Robinson's current price.

First Robinson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Robinson pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Robinson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Robinson pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Robinson Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Robinson Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Robinson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Robinson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet

First Robinson financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Robinson security.