Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

FRFXF Stock  USD 18.72  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fairfax Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29. Fairfax Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fairfax Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Fairfax Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fairfax Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fairfax Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fairfax Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fairfax Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fairfax Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fairfax Financial Holdings from the perspective of Fairfax Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fairfax Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29.

Fairfax Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Fairfax Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fairfax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fairfax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fairfax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Fairfax Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fairfax Financial Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fairfax Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fairfax Financial Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fairfax Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fairfax Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fairfax Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fairfax FinancialFairfax Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fairfax Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fairfax Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6729
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0867
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2883
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fairfax Financial Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fairfax Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fairfax Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairfax Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fairfax Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0218.7219.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7218.4219.12
Details

Fairfax Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fairfax Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fairfax Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fairfax Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fairfax Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fairfax Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fairfax Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fairfax Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fairfax Financial Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fairfax Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fairfax Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fairfax Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fairfax pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Fairfax Pink Sheet

Fairfax Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fairfax Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fairfax with respect to the benefits of owning Fairfax Financial security.