Freehold Royalties Pink Sheet Forward View
| FRHLF Stock | USD 12.04 0.34 2.75% |
Freehold Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Freehold Royalties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Freehold Royalties' pink sheet price is roughly 67. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Freehold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Freehold Royalties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freehold Royalties from the perspective of Freehold Royalties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Freehold Royalties on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.62. Freehold Royalties after-hype prediction price | USD 12.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Freehold |
Freehold Royalties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freehold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freehold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freehold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Freehold Royalties Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Freehold Royalties on the next trading day is expected to be 12.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freehold Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freehold Royalties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Freehold Royalties Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Freehold Royalties | Freehold Royalties Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Freehold Royalties Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Freehold Royalties' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freehold Royalties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.16 and 14.00, respectively. We have considered Freehold Royalties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freehold Royalties pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freehold Royalties pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5452 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1412 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.6156 |
Predictive Modules for Freehold Royalties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freehold Royalties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Freehold Royalties After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freehold Royalties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freehold Royalties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Freehold Royalties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freehold Royalties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freehold Royalties' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freehold Royalties' historical news coverage. Freehold Royalties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.62 and 13.46, respectively. We have considered Freehold Royalties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freehold Royalties is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freehold Royalties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freehold Royalties Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Freehold Royalties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freehold Royalties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freehold Royalties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.04 | 12.04 | 0.00 |
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Freehold Royalties Hype Timeline
Freehold Royalties is currently traded for 12.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Freehold is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Freehold Royalties is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.04. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Freehold Royalties was currently reported as 6.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freehold Royalties to cross-verify your projections.Freehold Royalties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freehold Royalties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freehold Royalties' future price movements. Getting to know how Freehold Royalties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freehold Royalties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MEYYY | Medco Energi Internasional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CIMEF | CIMC Enric Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPCFF | International Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.85 | 0.11 | 4.89 | (3.80) | 28.22 | |
| TOIPF | Thai Oil Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BIREF | Birchcliff Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 3.54 | (2.87) | 9.40 | |
| PARXF | Parex Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.11 | 3.17 | (3.32) | 10.02 | |
| JPTXF | Japan Petroleum Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MOGLF | Mongolian Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.08 | 0.06 | 7.95 | (6.67) | 20.59 | |
| AAVVF | Advantage Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.69 | (3.21) | 7.88 | |
| TGSNF | TGS ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.08 | 0.06 | 8.15 | (4.81) | 24.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for Freehold Royalties
For every potential investor in Freehold, whether a beginner or expert, Freehold Royalties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freehold Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freehold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freehold Royalties' price trends.Freehold Royalties Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freehold Royalties pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freehold Royalties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freehold Royalties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Freehold Royalties Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freehold Royalties pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freehold Royalties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freehold Royalties pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Freehold Royalties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Freehold Royalties Risk Indicators
The analysis of Freehold Royalties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freehold Royalties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freehold pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Freehold Royalties
The number of cover stories for Freehold Royalties depends on current market conditions and Freehold Royalties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freehold Royalties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freehold Royalties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Freehold Pink Sheet
Freehold Royalties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freehold Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freehold with respect to the benefits of owning Freehold Royalties security.