Chemicals Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FSCHX Fund  USD 12.35  0.14  1.12%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.33. Chemicals Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Chemicals Portfolio's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chemicals Portfolio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Chemicals Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals from the perspective of Chemicals Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.33.

Chemicals Portfolio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chemicals Portfolio to cross-verify your projections.

Chemicals Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chemicals price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chemicals using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chemicals charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Chemicals Portfolio simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Chemicals Portfolio prices get older.

Chemicals Portfolio Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chemicals Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chemicals Portfolio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chemicals Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Chemicals PortfolioChemicals Portfolio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Chemicals Portfolio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chemicals Portfolio's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chemicals Portfolio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.38 and 13.32, respectively. We have considered Chemicals Portfolio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.35
12.35
Expected Value
13.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chemicals Portfolio mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chemicals Portfolio mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8035
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0041
MADMean absolute deviation0.0874
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors5.33
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Chemicals Portfolio observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Chemicals Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chemicals Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3812.3513.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3012.2713.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chemicals Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chemicals Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chemicals Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chemicals Portfolio.

Other Forecasting Options for Chemicals Portfolio

For every potential investor in Chemicals, whether a beginner or expert, Chemicals Portfolio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chemicals Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chemicals. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chemicals Portfolio's price trends.

Chemicals Portfolio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chemicals Portfolio mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chemicals Portfolio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chemicals Portfolio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chemicals Portfolio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chemicals Portfolio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chemicals Portfolio's current price.

Chemicals Portfolio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chemicals Portfolio mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chemicals Portfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chemicals Portfolio mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Chemicals Portfolio Chemicals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chemicals Portfolio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chemicals Portfolio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chemicals Portfolio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chemicals mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Chemicals Mutual Fund

Chemicals Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chemicals Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chemicals with respect to the benefits of owning Chemicals Portfolio security.
Headlines Timeline
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Pattern Recognition
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Alpha Finder
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Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance