K2 Alternative Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FSKKX Fund | USD 11.20 0.03 0.27% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of K2 Alternative Strategies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02. FSKKX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of K2 Alternative's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using K2 Alternative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of K2 Alternative Strategies from the perspective of K2 Alternative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of K2 Alternative Strategies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02. K2 Alternative after-hype prediction price | USD 11.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FSKKX |
K2 Alternative Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FSKKX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FSKKX using various technical indicators. When you analyze FSKKX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
K2 Alternative Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of K2 Alternative Strategies on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FSKKX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that K2 Alternative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
K2 Alternative Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest K2 Alternative | K2 Alternative Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
K2 Alternative Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting K2 Alternative's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. K2 Alternative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.59 and 11.81, respectively. We have considered K2 Alternative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of K2 Alternative mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent K2 Alternative mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0155 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0153 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0336 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.015 |
Predictive Modules for K2 Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K2 Alternative Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.K2 Alternative After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of K2 Alternative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in K2 Alternative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of K2 Alternative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
K2 Alternative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting K2 Alternative's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on K2 Alternative's historical news coverage. K2 Alternative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.05 and 12.27, respectively. We have considered K2 Alternative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
K2 Alternative is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of K2 Alternative Strategies is based on 3 months time horizon.
K2 Alternative Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as K2 Alternative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading K2 Alternative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with K2 Alternative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.20 | 11.66 | 4.11 |
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K2 Alternative Hype Timeline
K2 Alternative Strategies is currently traded for 11.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. FSKKX is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 11.91%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 4.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on K2 Alternative is about 60.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.11. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of K2 Alternative to cross-verify your projections.K2 Alternative Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to K2 Alternative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict K2 Alternative's future price movements. Getting to know how K2 Alternative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how K2 Alternative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSHFX | Sound Shore Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | 0.12 | 1.38 | (1.29) | 15.33 | |
| CHASX | Chase Growth Fund | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.99 | 0.12 | 1.95 | (1.70) | 12.57 | |
| BOSVX | Omni Small Cap Value | (2.02) | 6 per month | 0.37 | 0.19 | 2.82 | (1.37) | 9.52 | |
| CIPMX | Champlain Mid Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | 0.10 | 1.68 | (1.22) | 23.97 | |
| GQESX | Gmo Quality Fund | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.40 | 0.10 | 1.41 | (1.12) | 9.05 | |
| OPTCX | Rbb Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.40 | (0.20) | 1.00 | |
| LMBMX | Qs Small Capitalization | (5.38) | 3 per month | 0.76 | 0.12 | 2.18 | (1.80) | 6.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for K2 Alternative
For every potential investor in FSKKX, whether a beginner or expert, K2 Alternative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FSKKX Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FSKKX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying K2 Alternative's price trends.K2 Alternative Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with K2 Alternative mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of K2 Alternative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing K2 Alternative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
K2 Alternative Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how K2 Alternative mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading K2 Alternative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying K2 Alternative mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify K2 Alternative Strategies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
K2 Alternative Risk Indicators
The analysis of K2 Alternative's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in K2 Alternative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fskkx mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2693 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5863 | |||
| Variance | 0.3438 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0866 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.06) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for K2 Alternative
The number of cover stories for K2 Alternative depends on current market conditions and K2 Alternative's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that K2 Alternative is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about K2 Alternative's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in FSKKX Mutual Fund
K2 Alternative financial ratios help investors to determine whether FSKKX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FSKKX with respect to the benefits of owning K2 Alternative security.
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