Retailing Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FSRPX Fund  USD 17.98  0.06  0.33%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing on the next trading day is expected to be 17.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86. Retailing Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Retailing Portfolio's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the mutual fund is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 94

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Retailing Portfolio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Retailing Portfolio Retailing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Retailing Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing from the perspective of Retailing Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing on the next trading day is expected to be 17.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86.

Retailing Portfolio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Retailing Portfolio to cross-verify your projections.

Retailing Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Retailing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Retailing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Retailing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Retailing Portfolio is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Retailing Portfolio Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing on the next trading day is expected to be 17.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Retailing Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Retailing Portfolio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Retailing Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Retailing PortfolioRetailing Portfolio Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Retailing Portfolio Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Retailing Portfolio's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Retailing Portfolio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.27 and 19.69, respectively. We have considered Retailing Portfolio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.98
17.98
Expected Value
19.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Retailing Portfolio mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Retailing Portfolio mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5303
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0426
MADMean absolute deviation0.2179
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors12.855
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Retailing Portfolio Retailing price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Retailing Portfolio. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Retailing Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retailing Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2817.9819.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2916.9918.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.9017.9618.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Retailing Portfolio

For every potential investor in Retailing, whether a beginner or expert, Retailing Portfolio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Retailing Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Retailing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Retailing Portfolio's price trends.

Retailing Portfolio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Retailing Portfolio mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Retailing Portfolio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Retailing Portfolio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Retailing Portfolio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Retailing Portfolio's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Retailing Portfolio's current price.

Retailing Portfolio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Retailing Portfolio mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Retailing Portfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Retailing Portfolio mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Retailing Portfolio Retailing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Retailing Portfolio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Retailing Portfolio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Retailing Portfolio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting retailing mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Retailing Mutual Fund

Retailing Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retailing Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retailing with respect to the benefits of owning Retailing Portfolio security.
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