First Berlin OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FTFI Stock  USD 37.17  0.08  0.21%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Berlin Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.82. First OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Berlin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of First Berlin's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
First Berlin Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of First Berlin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of First Berlin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Berlin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Berlin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Berlin Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Berlin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using First Berlin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Berlin Bancorp from the perspective of First Berlin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Berlin Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.82.

First Berlin after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Berlin to cross-verify your projections.

First Berlin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Berlin price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Berlin Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Berlin Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 36.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Berlin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Berlin OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First BerlinFirst Berlin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

First Berlin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Berlin's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Berlin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.20 and 38.35, respectively. We have considered First Berlin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.17
36.78
Expected Value
38.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Berlin otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Berlin otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8519
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0251
SAESum of the absolute errors52.8177
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Berlin Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Berlin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Berlin Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5937.1738.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.4542.1443.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.3034.7838.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Berlin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Berlin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Berlin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Berlin Bancorp.

First Berlin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Berlin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Berlin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of First Berlin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Berlin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Berlin's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Berlin's historical news coverage. First Berlin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.59 and 38.75, respectively. We have considered First Berlin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.17
37.17
After-hype Price
38.75
Upside
First Berlin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Berlin Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Berlin OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as First Berlin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Berlin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Berlin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.58
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.17
37.17
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Berlin Hype Timeline

First Berlin Bancorp is currently traded for 37.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Berlin is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.17. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Berlin to cross-verify your projections.

First Berlin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Berlin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Berlin's future price movements. Getting to know how First Berlin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Berlin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PBCOPeoples Bank of 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.84 (0.28) 2.15 
FCOB1st Colonial Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.13  2.17 (1.32) 3.83 
NMBFNmb Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.49  0.00  33.71 
CYVFCrystal Valley Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.03  1.33 (0.96) 8.13 
PPLLPeoples 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  1.61  0.00  65.12 
CNBBCnb Community Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.17 (0.56) 3.04 
TRVRTwo Rivers Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.68  0.22  3.27 (1.53) 16.03 
BLHKBlueharbor Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.63  0.02  2.66 (2.59) 17.51 
BCTFBancorp 34 0.00 0 per month 0.53 (0.07) 0.96 (1.41) 5.89 
BKSCBank of South 0.00 0 per month 1.31 (0.04) 2.06 (2.45) 8.03 

Other Forecasting Options for First Berlin

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Berlin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Berlin's price trends.

First Berlin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Berlin otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Berlin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Berlin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Berlin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Berlin otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Berlin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Berlin otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Berlin Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Berlin Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Berlin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Berlin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for First Berlin

The number of cover stories for First Berlin depends on current market conditions and First Berlin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Berlin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Berlin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

First Berlin Short Properties

First Berlin's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Berlin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Berlin Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Berlin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Berlin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0112
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.2

Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock

First Berlin financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Berlin security.