Fathom Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FTHM Stock | USD 1.06 0.07 6.19% |
Fathom Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Fathom Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fathom Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fathom Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Fathom Holdings' share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fathom Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.10) |
Using Fathom Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fathom Holdings from the perspective of Fathom Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fathom Holdings using Fathom Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fathom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fathom Holdings' stock price.
Fathom Holdings Implied Volatility | 3.92 |
Fathom Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fathom Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fathom Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fathom Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fathom Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fathom Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28. Fathom Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fathom Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fathom Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fathom Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fathom Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fathom Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fathom Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Fathom Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fathom Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fathom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fathom Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fathom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fathom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fathom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fathom Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fathom Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fathom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fathom Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fathom Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fathom Holdings | Fathom Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fathom Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fathom Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fathom Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered Fathom Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fathom Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fathom Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9103 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1029 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0889 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2777 |
Predictive Modules for Fathom Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fathom Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fathom Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fathom Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fathom Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fathom Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fathom Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fathom Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fathom Holdings' historical news coverage. Fathom Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 7.26, respectively. We have considered Fathom Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fathom Holdings is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fathom Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fathom Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fathom Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fathom Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fathom Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 6.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.06 | 1.06 | 0.00 |
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Fathom Holdings Hype Timeline
Fathom Holdings is currently traded for 1.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fathom is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fathom Holdings is about 217350.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.06. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fathom Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.74. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fathom Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Fathom Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fathom Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fathom Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Fathom Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fathom Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RFL | Rafael Holdings | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.92 | (3.28) | 31.43 | |
| SACH | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 2.00 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (4.67) | 13.97 | |
| OMH | Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.90 | (11.88) | 40.47 | |
| AIRE | reAlpha Tech Corp | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 10.42 | (11.76) | 27.21 | |
| AHT | Ashford Hospitality Trust | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.06 | (8.79) | 53.36 | |
| SCCG | Sachem Capital Corp | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.53 | 0.01 | 1.15 | (0.99) | 2.82 | |
| BHM | Bluerock Homes Trust | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.64 | (6.83) | 19.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fathom Holdings
For every potential investor in Fathom, whether a beginner or expert, Fathom Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fathom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fathom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fathom Holdings' price trends.Fathom Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fathom Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fathom Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fathom Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fathom Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fathom Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fathom Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fathom Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fathom Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fathom Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fathom Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fathom Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fathom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.14 | |||
| Variance | 37.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fathom Holdings
The number of cover stories for Fathom Holdings depends on current market conditions and Fathom Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fathom Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fathom Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fathom Holdings Short Properties
Fathom Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Fathom Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fathom Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fathom Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fathom Holdings to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fathom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fathom Holdings guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Real Estate Management & Development sector continue expanding? Could Fathom diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Holdings. Market participants price Fathom higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fathom Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.377 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Fathom Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Holdings' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Fathom Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Fathom Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.