Fortinet Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FTNT Stock  USD 78.05  1.97  2.46%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortinet on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.60. Fortinet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Fortinet's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fortinet's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fortinet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fortinet's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6704
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6936
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.928
Wall Street Target Price
87.1897
Using Fortinet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortinet from the perspective of Fortinet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fortinet using Fortinet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fortinet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fortinet's stock price.

Fortinet Short Interest

An investor who is long Fortinet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fortinet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fortinet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
91.113
Short Percent
0.0384
Short Ratio
4.58
Shares Short Prior Month
22.7 M
50 Day MA
82.1564

Fortinet Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fortinet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fortinet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fortinet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fortinet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fortinet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fortinet.

Fortinet Implied Volatility

    
  0.43  
Fortinet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fortinet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fortinet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fortinet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fortinet's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortinet on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.60.

Fortinet after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortinet to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Fortinet Stock please use our How to Invest in Fortinet guide.At this time, Fortinet's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 4.72 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 6.36 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1 B in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 880.5 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Fortinet Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fortinet's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fortinet's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fortinet stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fortinet's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fortinet's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fortinet is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fortinet. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fortinet Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fortinet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortinet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortinet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Fortinet is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Fortinet Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortinet on the next trading day is expected to be 79.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fortinet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fortinet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fortinet Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FortinetFortinet Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fortinet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fortinet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fortinet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.36 and 80.71, respectively. We have considered Fortinet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.05
79.03
Expected Value
80.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fortinet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fortinet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1856
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1207
MADMean absolute deviation1.1288
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0138
SAESum of the absolute errors66.6
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Fortinet price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Fortinet. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Fortinet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortinet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.6178.2879.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.0971.7686.08
Details
45 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.3487.1996.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.740.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fortinet

For every potential investor in Fortinet, whether a beginner or expert, Fortinet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortinet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortinet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortinet's price trends.

Fortinet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortinet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortinet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortinet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fortinet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fortinet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fortinet's current price.

Fortinet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortinet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortinet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortinet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortinet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fortinet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fortinet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortinet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortinet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Fortinet Stock Analysis

When running Fortinet's price analysis, check to measure Fortinet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortinet is operating at the current time. Most of Fortinet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortinet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortinet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortinet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.