Fortrea Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FTRE Stock | 16.81 0.24 1.41% |
Fortrea Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fortrea Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Fortrea Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fortrea Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Fortrea Holdings' share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fortrea Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1863 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.509 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7819 | Wall Street Target Price 16.4364 |
Using Fortrea Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortrea Holdings from the perspective of Fortrea Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fortrea Holdings using Fortrea Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fortrea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fortrea Holdings' stock price.
Fortrea Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Fortrea Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Fortrea. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Fortrea Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.4031 | Short Percent 0.1439 | Short Ratio 6.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.2 M | 50 Day MA 15.4712 |
Fortrea Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fortrea Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.03.Fortrea Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fortrea Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fortrea. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fortrea can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fortrea Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fortrea Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fortrea Holdings.
Fortrea Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Fortrea Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fortrea Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fortrea Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fortrea Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fortrea Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fortrea Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.03. Fortrea Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 16.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortrea Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fortrea contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fortrea Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Fortrea Holdings trading at USD 16.81, that is roughly USD 0.0127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fortrea Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fortrea Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fortrea Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fortrea Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fortrea Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fortrea Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fortrea Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Fortrea Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fortrea Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fortrea. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fortrea Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fortrea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortrea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortrea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fortrea Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fortrea Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 16.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fortrea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fortrea Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fortrea Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fortrea Holdings | Fortrea Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fortrea Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fortrea Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fortrea Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.73 and 21.89, respectively. We have considered Fortrea Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fortrea Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fortrea Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3869 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1185 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4672 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0333 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.03 |
Predictive Modules for Fortrea Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortrea Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fortrea Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fortrea Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fortrea Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fortrea Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fortrea Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fortrea Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fortrea Holdings' historical news coverage. Fortrea Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.69 and 21.93, respectively. We have considered Fortrea Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fortrea Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fortrea Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fortrea Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fortrea Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortrea Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fortrea Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 5.08 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.81 | 16.81 | 0.00 |
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Fortrea Holdings Hype Timeline
Fortrea Holdings is currently traded for 16.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Fortrea is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.94%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fortrea Holdings is about 6047.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.89. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fortrea Holdings was currently reported as 6.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. Fortrea Holdings recorded a loss per share of 11.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortrea Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Fortrea Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fortrea Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fortrea Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Fortrea Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fortrea Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRVI | Maravai Lifesciences Holdings | (0.12) | 8 per month | 3.59 | 0.01 | 8.38 | (6.37) | 22.00 | |
| XNCR | Xencor Inc | (0.23) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.33 | (5.08) | 16.84 | |
| PHAT | Phathom Pharmaceuticals | 1.52 | 9 per month | 3.65 | 0 | 5.99 | (4.86) | 24.16 | |
| VIR | Vir Biotechnology | (0.20) | 8 per month | 3.64 | 0.1 | 8.08 | (6.25) | 20.46 | |
| BBOT | BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics | (0.72) | 8 per month | 3.50 | 0.02 | 8.45 | (6.24) | 27.79 | |
| KURA | Kura Oncology | 0.92 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.01 | (5.08) | 22.27 | |
| ANAB | AnaptysBio | (0.44) | 8 per month | 3.61 | 0.12 | 6.11 | (5.26) | 20.41 | |
| EYPT | Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals | 0.38 | 9 per month | 3.49 | 0.08 | 7.21 | (4.89) | 22.25 | |
| PROK | ProKidney Corp | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.77 | (8.95) | 22.38 | |
| AVBP | ArriVent BioPharma Common | (0.17) | 4 per month | 3.17 | 0.06 | 6.71 | (6.03) | 18.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fortrea Holdings
For every potential investor in Fortrea, whether a beginner or expert, Fortrea Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortrea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortrea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortrea Holdings' price trends.Fortrea Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortrea Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortrea Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortrea Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fortrea Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortrea Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortrea Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortrea Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortrea Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fortrea Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fortrea Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortrea Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortrea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.02 | |||
| Variance | 25.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fortrea Holdings
The number of cover stories for Fortrea Holdings depends on current market conditions and Fortrea Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortrea Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortrea Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fortrea Holdings Short Properties
Fortrea Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Fortrea Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fortrea Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fortrea Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortrea Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortrea Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Fortrea Stock refer to our How to Trade Fortrea Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Life Sciences Tools & Services sector continue expanding? Could Fortrea diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortrea Holdings. Market participants price Fortrea higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fortrea Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share (11.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Fortrea Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fortrea's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Fortrea Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fortrea Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortrea Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortrea Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fortrea Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.