First Resources Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FTROF Stock | USD 1.80 0.00 0.00% |
First Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of First Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of First Resources' share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Resources Limited from the perspective of First Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23. First Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 1.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
First Resources Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
First Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest First Resources | First Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
First Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting First Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 3.68, respectively. We have considered First Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0039 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.23 |
Predictive Modules for First Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Resources' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Resources' historical news coverage. First Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 3.66, respectively. We have considered First Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Resources is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Resources Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
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First Resources Hype Timeline
First Resources is currently traded for 1.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.80. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Resources last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Resources to cross-verify your projections.First Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how First Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NISUY | Nippon Suisan Kaisha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.68 | |
| AVSFY | Avi Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRRFY | Premier Foods Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.59 | 0.01 | 6.66 | (6.77) | 19.87 | |
| PFODF | Premier Foods plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.86 | |
| UVRBF | Universal Robina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.83 | |
| GNCGY | Greencore Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.63 | |
| ASTVF | Austevoll Seafood ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.76 | |
| SGLJF | Strauss Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TUFBY | Thai Union Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.54 | |
| CLBEY | Calbee Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.64 | 0.01 | 5.41 | (4.55) | 15.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for First Resources
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Resources' price trends.First Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4372 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for First Resources
The number of cover stories for First Resources depends on current market conditions and First Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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First Resources Short Properties
First Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Resources Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.03 | |
| Float Shares | 445.82M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet
First Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Resources security.