Fitzroy Minerals Stock Forward View
| FTZ Stock | 0.50 0.03 5.66% |
Fitzroy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Fitzroy Minerals' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fitzroy Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fitzroy Minerals from the perspective of Fitzroy Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fitzroy Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57. Fitzroy Minerals after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fitzroy |
Fitzroy Minerals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fitzroy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fitzroy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fitzroy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fitzroy Minerals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fitzroy Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fitzroy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fitzroy Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fitzroy Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fitzroy Minerals | Fitzroy Minerals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fitzroy Minerals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fitzroy Minerals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fitzroy Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered Fitzroy Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fitzroy Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fitzroy Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2489 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0258 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0542 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.5744 |
Predictive Modules for Fitzroy Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fitzroy Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fitzroy Minerals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fitzroy Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fitzroy Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fitzroy Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fitzroy Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fitzroy Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fitzroy Minerals' historical news coverage. Fitzroy Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered Fitzroy Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fitzroy Minerals is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fitzroy Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fitzroy Minerals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fitzroy Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fitzroy Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fitzroy Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 5.87 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.50 | 0.49 | 2.00 |
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Fitzroy Minerals Hype Timeline
Fitzroy Minerals is currently traded for 0.50on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Fitzroy is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -2.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Fitzroy Minerals is about 74709.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.50. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Fitzroy Minerals was currently reported as 0.13. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Fitzroy Minerals last dividend was issued on the 26th of September 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fitzroy Minerals to cross-verify your projections.Fitzroy Minerals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fitzroy Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fitzroy Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how Fitzroy Minerals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fitzroy Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AE | American Eagle Gold | 0.01 | 3 per month | 3.10 | 0.07 | 8.93 | (6.02) | 40.36 | |
| ARK | Arras Minerals Corp | (0.06) | 4 per month | 3.71 | (0.01) | 6.33 | (6.33) | 23.75 | |
| BBB | Brixton Metals | 0.01 | 5 per month | 5.69 | 0.12 | 13.33 | (8.33) | 33.57 | |
| RK | Rockhaven Resources | 0.01 | 8 per month | 5.37 | 0.13 | 22.73 | (9.52) | 47.93 | |
| SGO | Sonoro Gold Corp | (0.02) | 4 per month | 3.38 | 0.05 | 8.70 | (6.67) | 29.74 | |
| SNAG | Silver North Resources | 0.01 | 6 per month | 4.69 | 0.02 | 14.29 | (7.50) | 33.33 | |
| TSLV | Tier One Silver | (0.01) | 3 per month | 3.97 | 0.04 | 11.11 | (7.69) | 35.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fitzroy Minerals
For every potential investor in Fitzroy, whether a beginner or expert, Fitzroy Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fitzroy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fitzroy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fitzroy Minerals' price trends.Fitzroy Minerals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fitzroy Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fitzroy Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fitzroy Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fitzroy Minerals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fitzroy Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fitzroy Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fitzroy Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fitzroy Minerals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fitzroy Minerals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fitzroy Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fitzroy Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fitzroy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.84 | |||
| Variance | 34.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 37.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fitzroy Minerals
The number of cover stories for Fitzroy Minerals depends on current market conditions and Fitzroy Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fitzroy Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fitzroy Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Fitzroy Stock Analysis
When running Fitzroy Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Fitzroy Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fitzroy Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Fitzroy Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fitzroy Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fitzroy Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fitzroy Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.