Future Science Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

FUTS Etf  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Future Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Future Science's share price is at 58. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Future Science, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Future Science's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Future Science and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Future Science's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Future Science Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Future Science hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Future Science Holdings from the perspective of Future Science response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Future Science Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000016 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.001.

Future Science after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.39E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Future Science to cross-verify your projections.

Future Science Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Future price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Future using various technical indicators. When you analyze Future charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Future Science is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Future Science Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Future Science Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Future Science Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000016, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Future Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Future Science's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Future Science Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Future Science  Future Science Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Future Science Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Future Science's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Future Science's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 39.05, respectively. We have considered Future Science's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
39.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Future Science pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Future Science pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.5617
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1138
SAESum of the absolute errors0.001
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Future Science Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Future Science. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Future Science

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Future Science Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Future Science's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000239.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0039.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Future Science After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Future Science at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Future Science or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Future Science, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Future Science Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Future Science's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Future Science's historical news coverage. Future Science's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 39.05, respectively. We have considered Future Science's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
39.05
Upside
Future Science is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Future Science Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Future Science Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Future Science is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Future Science backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Future Science, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.10 
39.05
  1.00 
  4.24 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
19.61 
378.03  
Notes

Future Science Hype Timeline

Future Science Holdings is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 4.24. Future is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.39E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 19.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 4.1%. The volatility of related hype on Future Science is about 3780.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.24. Future Science Holdings currently holds 1.01 M in liabilities. Future Science Holdings has a current ratio of 4.78, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Future Science until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Future Science's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Future Science Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Future to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Future Science's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Future Science to cross-verify your projections.

Future Science Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Future Science's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Future Science's future price movements. Getting to know how Future Science's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Future Science may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PVEGPacific Vegas Global 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UGHBUniversal Global Hub 10.33 1 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  50.00 
AVNYManaris Corp 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ASKHAstika Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.18  100.00  0.00  1,995 
JAGRGreen Street Capital 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NOUVNouveau Life Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRTGFrontera Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RPFGRainier Pacific Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CNWHFChina Networks International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WBBAWB Burgers Asia 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Future Science

For every potential investor in Future, whether a beginner or expert, Future Science's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Future Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Future. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Future Science's price trends.

Future Science Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Future Science pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Future Science could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Future Science by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Future Science Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Future Science pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Future Science shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Future Science pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Future Science Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Future Science Risk Indicators

The analysis of Future Science's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Future Science's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting future pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Future Science

The number of cover stories for Future Science depends on current market conditions and Future Science's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Future Science is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Future Science's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Future Pink Sheet

Future Science financial ratios help investors to determine whether Future Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Future with respect to the benefits of owning Future Science security.