Furukawa Electric Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FUWAY Stock | USD 58.70 10.72 22.34% |
Furukawa Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Furukawa Electric's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Furukawa Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Furukawa Electric Co from the perspective of Furukawa Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Furukawa Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 59.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.19. Furukawa Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 58.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Furukawa |
Furukawa Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Furukawa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Furukawa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Furukawa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Furukawa Electric Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Furukawa Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 59.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 6.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Furukawa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Furukawa Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Furukawa Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Furukawa Electric | Furukawa Electric Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Furukawa Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Furukawa Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Furukawa Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.32 and 66.64, respectively. We have considered Furukawa Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Furukawa Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Furukawa Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3751 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2236 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.1943 |
Predictive Modules for Furukawa Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Furukawa Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Furukawa Electric After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Furukawa Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Furukawa Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Furukawa Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Furukawa Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Furukawa Electric's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Furukawa Electric's historical news coverage. Furukawa Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.98 and 65.42, respectively. We have considered Furukawa Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Furukawa Electric is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Furukawa Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.
Furukawa Electric Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Furukawa Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Furukawa Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Furukawa Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.10 | 6.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
58.70 | 58.70 | 0.00 |
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Furukawa Electric Hype Timeline
Furukawa Electric is currently traded for 58.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Furukawa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Furukawa Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.70. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Furukawa Electric last dividend was issued on the 29th of March 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 6th of October 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Furukawa Electric to cross-verify your projections.Furukawa Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Furukawa Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Furukawa Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Furukawa Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Furukawa Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OSAGF | OSRAM Licht AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YASKF | YASKAWA Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 10.64 | 0.00 | 23.97 | |
| NRKBF | NKT AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.80 | |
| RICOY | Ricoh Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.02 | 2.17 | (2.13) | 18.99 | |
| BRTHF | Brother Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OSAGY | OSRAM Licht AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HSHIF | Hoshizaki | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MSUXF | MISUMI Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.35 | |
| AHEXF | Adecco Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.18 | |
| ARCAY | Arcadis NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.51 | 0.04 | 11.70 | (4.76) | 43.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Furukawa Electric
For every potential investor in Furukawa, whether a beginner or expert, Furukawa Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Furukawa Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Furukawa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Furukawa Electric's price trends.Furukawa Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Furukawa Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Furukawa Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Furukawa Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Furukawa Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Furukawa Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Furukawa Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Furukawa Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Furukawa Electric Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.22 | |||
| Day Median Price | 58.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 58.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 10.72 |
Furukawa Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Furukawa Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Furukawa Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting furukawa pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.66 | |||
| Variance | 44.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 64.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Furukawa Electric
The number of cover stories for Furukawa Electric depends on current market conditions and Furukawa Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Furukawa Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Furukawa Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Furukawa Electric Short Properties
Furukawa Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Furukawa Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Furukawa Electric Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Furukawa Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Furukawa Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.4 B |
Additional Tools for Furukawa Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Furukawa Electric's price analysis, check to measure Furukawa Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Furukawa Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Furukawa Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Furukawa Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Furukawa Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Furukawa Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.