Future Vision Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FVN Stock   10.63  0.02  0.19%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Future Vision II on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68. Future Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Future Vision's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Future Vision's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Future Vision fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Future Vision's stock price is about 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Future, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Future Vision's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Future Vision II, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Future Vision's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.263
Using Future Vision hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Future Vision II from the perspective of Future Vision response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Future Vision II on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.

Future Vision after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Future Vision to cross-verify your projections.

Future Vision Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Future price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Future using various technical indicators. When you analyze Future charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Future Vision simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Future Vision II are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Future Vision II prices get older.

Future Vision Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Future Vision II on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Future Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Future Vision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Future Vision Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Future VisionFuture Vision Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Future Vision Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Future Vision's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Future Vision's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.45 and 10.81, respectively. We have considered Future Vision's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.63
10.63
Expected Value
10.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Future Vision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Future Vision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0016
MADMean absolute deviation0.0111
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.001
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6755
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Future Vision II forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Future Vision observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Future Vision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Future Vision II. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Future Vision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4510.6310.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4210.6010.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.5310.5710.62
Details

Future Vision After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Future Vision at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Future Vision or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Future Vision, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Future Vision Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Future Vision's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Future Vision's historical news coverage. Future Vision's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.45 and 10.81, respectively. We have considered Future Vision's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.63
10.63
After-hype Price
10.81
Upside
Future Vision is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Future Vision II is based on 3 months time horizon.

Future Vision Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Future Vision is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Future Vision backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Future Vision, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.63
10.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Future Vision Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Future Vision II is traded for 10.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Future is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Future Vision is about 1058.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.63. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Future Vision II had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Future Vision to cross-verify your projections.

Future Vision Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Future Vision's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Future Vision's future price movements. Getting to know how Future Vision's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Future Vision may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
COLAColumbus Acquisition Corp 0.00 9 per month 0.00 (0.27) 0.39 (0.29) 1.83 
COLAUColumbus Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.19  0.00  3.64 
HSPOHorizon Space Acquisition 0.00 0 per month 3.55  0  2.46 (3.24) 61.25 
UYSCUY Scuti Acquisition 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.78) 0.20 (0.19) 0.59 
RDACRising Dragon Acquisition 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 6.78 (9.32) 29.76 
PFSAProfusa Common Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 12.50 (17.65) 91.67 
MAYAUMaywood Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RIBBURibbon Acquisition Corp 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (1.02) 0.10  0.00  0.96 
CAPNCayson Acquisition Corp 0.01 5 per month 0.17 (0.19) 0.47 (0.38) 2.80 
ISRLIsrael Acquisitions Corp(0.18)4 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.05 (1.37) 10.23 

Other Forecasting Options for Future Vision

For every potential investor in Future, whether a beginner or expert, Future Vision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Future Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Future. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Future Vision's price trends.

Future Vision Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Future Vision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Future Vision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Future Vision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Future Vision Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Future Vision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Future Vision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Future Vision stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Future Vision II entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Future Vision Risk Indicators

The analysis of Future Vision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Future Vision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting future stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Future Vision

The number of cover stories for Future Vision depends on current market conditions and Future Vision's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Future Vision is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Future Vision's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Future Vision Short Properties

Future Vision's future price predictability will typically decrease when Future Vision's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Future Vision II often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Future Vision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Future Vision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Percent Float0.0013
Shares FloatM
Short Percent0.0013
When determining whether Future Vision II is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Future Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Future Vision Ii Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Future Vision Ii Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Future Vision to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Shell Companies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Future Vision. If investors know Future will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Future Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.263
The market value of Future Vision II is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Future that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Future Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Future Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Future Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Future Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Future Vision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Future Vision is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Future Vision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.