FrontView REIT Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FVR Stock | 16.51 0.07 0.42% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FrontView REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 16.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49. FrontView Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although FrontView REIT's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of FrontView REIT's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FrontView REIT fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of FrontView REIT's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.32) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.35) | Wall Street Target Price 15.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using FrontView REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FrontView REIT from the perspective of FrontView REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
FrontView REIT Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FrontView REIT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FrontView. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FrontView can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FrontView REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FrontView REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 16.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49.
FrontView REIT after-hype prediction price | USD 16.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FrontView | Build AI portfolio with FrontView Stock |
FrontView REIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FrontView price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FrontView using various technical indicators. When you analyze FrontView charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FrontView REIT Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FrontView REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 16.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FrontView Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FrontView REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FrontView REIT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FrontView REIT | FrontView REIT Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FrontView REIT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FrontView REIT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FrontView REIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.57 and 18.45, respectively. We have considered FrontView REIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FrontView REIT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FrontView REIT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7311 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0455 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.49 |
Predictive Modules for FrontView REIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FrontView REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FrontView REIT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FrontView REIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FrontView REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FrontView REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FrontView REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FrontView REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FrontView REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FrontView REIT's historical news coverage. FrontView REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.54 and 18.42, respectively. We have considered FrontView REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FrontView REIT is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FrontView REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
FrontView REIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FrontView REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FrontView REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FrontView REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.94 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.51 | 16.48 | 0.55 |
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FrontView REIT Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January FrontView REIT is traded for 16.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. FrontView is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on FrontView REIT is about 27714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.51. The company reported the last year's revenue of 59.92 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.21 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 56.52 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FrontView REIT to cross-verify your projections.FrontView REIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FrontView REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FrontView REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how FrontView REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FrontView REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.92 | 0.03 | 2.23 | (2.05) | 7.01 | |
| CIO | City Office | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.29 | (0.44) | 100.99 | |
| WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.33 | (20.89) | 125.65 | |
| REFI | Chicago Atlantic Real | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.35 | (2.12) | 8.13 | |
| OZ | Belpointe PREP LLC | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.01 | (3.79) | 18.80 | |
| BRT | BRT Realty Trust | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.27 | (0.05) | 2.54 | (2.33) | 7.33 | |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.04 | 4.16 | (2.90) | 18.78 | |
| ARL | American Realty Investors | 0.38 | 8 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 5.32 | (3.77) | 13.37 | |
| SRG | Seritage Growth Properties | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.37 | (3.39) | 12.77 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | (0.07) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.06 | 2.44 | (2.47) | 8.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for FrontView REIT
For every potential investor in FrontView, whether a beginner or expert, FrontView REIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FrontView Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FrontView. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FrontView REIT's price trends.FrontView REIT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FrontView REIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FrontView REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FrontView REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FrontView REIT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FrontView REIT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FrontView REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FrontView REIT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FrontView REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FrontView REIT Risk Indicators
The analysis of FrontView REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FrontView REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frontview stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FrontView REIT
The number of cover stories for FrontView REIT depends on current market conditions and FrontView REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FrontView REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FrontView REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FrontView REIT Short Properties
FrontView REIT's future price predictability will typically decrease when FrontView REIT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FrontView REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FrontView REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FrontView REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Additional Tools for FrontView Stock Analysis
When running FrontView REIT's price analysis, check to measure FrontView REIT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FrontView REIT is operating at the current time. Most of FrontView REIT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FrontView REIT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FrontView REIT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FrontView REIT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.