BANNER Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FW2N Stock  EUR 69.50  1.50  2.11%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BANNER on the next trading day is expected to be 69.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.76. BANNER Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BANNER stock prices and determine the direction of BANNER's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BANNER's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for BANNER - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When BANNER prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in BANNER price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of BANNER.

BANNER Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BANNER on the next trading day is expected to be 69.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 3.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BANNER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BANNER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BANNER Stock Forecast Pattern

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BANNER Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BANNER's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BANNER's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.13 and 72.43, respectively. We have considered BANNER's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.50
69.78
Expected Value
72.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BANNER stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BANNER stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2992
MADMean absolute deviation1.2163
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0195
SAESum of the absolute errors71.7611
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past BANNER observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older BANNER observations.

Predictive Modules for BANNER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANNER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.8569.5072.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.5577.6180.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.6570.5772.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BANNER

For every potential investor in BANNER, whether a beginner or expert, BANNER's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BANNER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BANNER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BANNER's price trends.

BANNER Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BANNER stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BANNER could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BANNER by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BANNER Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BANNER's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BANNER's current price.

BANNER Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BANNER stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BANNER shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BANNER stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BANNER entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BANNER Risk Indicators

The analysis of BANNER's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BANNER's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banner stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BANNER Stock

When determining whether BANNER is a strong investment it is important to analyze BANNER's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BANNER's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BANNER Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BANNER to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade BANNER Stock refer to our How to Trade BANNER Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BANNER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BANNER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BANNER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.