Banco De Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

G4RA Stock  EUR 37.40  0.80  2.19%   
Banco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Banco De's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Banco De's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco De's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco De and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco De's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco de Chile, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Banco De's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Wall Street Target Price
23.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Using Banco De hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco de Chile from the perspective of Banco De response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Banco de Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 37.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.04.

Banco De after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 36.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco De to cross-verify your projections.

Banco De Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Banco De simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Banco de Chile are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Banco de Chile prices get older.

Banco De Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Banco de Chile on the next trading day is expected to be 37.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco De's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco De Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banco De  Banco De Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Banco De Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco De's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco De's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.89 and 39.85, respectively. We have considered Banco De's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.40
37.37
Expected Value
39.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco De stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco De stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9319
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1513
MADMean absolute deviation0.6507
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors39.0397
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Banco de Chile forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Banco De observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Banco De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco de Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.0036.5039.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7230.2240.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco De. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco De's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco De's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco de Chile.

Banco De After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco De at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco De or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco De, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco De Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco De's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco De's historical news coverage. Banco De's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.00 and 39.00, respectively. We have considered Banco De's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.40
36.50
After-hype Price
39.00
Upside
Banco De is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco de Chile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco De Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco De is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco De backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco De, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.48
  0.11 
  142.56 
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.40
36.50
0.27 
620.00  
Notes

Banco De Hype Timeline

Banco de Chile is currently traded for 37.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -142.56. Banco is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Banco De is about 0.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -105.16. The book value of the company was currently reported as 56.24. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of March 2025. Banco de Chile had 3:1 split on the 23rd of November 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco De to cross-verify your projections.

Banco De Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco De's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco De's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco De's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco De may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Banco De

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco De's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco De's price trends.

Banco De Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco De stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco De could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco De by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco De Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco De stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco De shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco De stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco de Chile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco De Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco De's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco De's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Banco De

The number of cover stories for Banco De depends on current market conditions and Banco De's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco De is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco De's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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When determining whether Banco de Chile offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco De's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco De Chile Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco De Chile Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco De to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco De's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco De is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Banco De's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.