Grupo Aeroportuario Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GAERF Stock  USD 15.24  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Aeroportuario del on the next trading day is expected to be 15.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.32. Grupo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Grupo Aeroportuario's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grupo Aeroportuario's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Aeroportuario and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Aeroportuario's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Aeroportuario del, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Grupo Aeroportuario hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Aeroportuario del from the perspective of Grupo Aeroportuario response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Aeroportuario del on the next trading day is expected to be 15.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.32.

Grupo Aeroportuario after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario to cross-verify your projections.

Grupo Aeroportuario Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Grupo Aeroportuario is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Grupo Aeroportuario del value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Grupo Aeroportuario Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Aeroportuario del on the next trading day is expected to be 15.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Aeroportuario's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Aeroportuario Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Grupo AeroportuarioGrupo Aeroportuario Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Grupo Aeroportuario Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Aeroportuario's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Aeroportuario's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.42 and 18.88, respectively. We have considered Grupo Aeroportuario's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.24
15.15
Expected Value
18.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Aeroportuario pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Aeroportuario pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6844
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3822
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0282
SAESum of the absolute errors23.3165
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Grupo Aeroportuario del. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Grupo Aeroportuario. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Aeroportuario

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Aeroportuario del. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4815.2419.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2612.0215.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.9714.4315.90
Details

Grupo Aeroportuario After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grupo Aeroportuario at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Aeroportuario or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Grupo Aeroportuario, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grupo Aeroportuario Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grupo Aeroportuario's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Aeroportuario's historical news coverage. Grupo Aeroportuario's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.48 and 19.00, respectively. We have considered Grupo Aeroportuario's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.24
15.24
After-hype Price
19.00
Upside
Grupo Aeroportuario is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Aeroportuario del is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grupo Aeroportuario Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Aeroportuario is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Aeroportuario backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Aeroportuario, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
3.73
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.24
15.24
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Grupo Aeroportuario Hype Timeline

Grupo Aeroportuario del is currently traded for 15.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grupo is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Aeroportuario is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.24. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario to cross-verify your projections.

Grupo Aeroportuario Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Aeroportuario's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Aeroportuario's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Aeroportuario's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Aeroportuario may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FGWLFFlughafen Wien Aktiengesellschaft 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EJTTFeasyJet plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.16  0.00  13.70 
ESYJYEasyJet PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.44 (0.03) 3.38 (2.33) 8.18 
SPASFSATS 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  23.34 
ACDVFAir Canada 0.00 0 per month 1.46  0.05  3.25 (2.61) 7.57 
JAIRFJapan Airport Terminal 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
YMATFAzbil 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  15.35 (12.69) 17.54 
BAFBFBalfour Beatty plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  1.28 (0.21) 9.54 
BFLBYBilfinger SE ADR 0.00 0 per month 2.87  0.1  6.64 (5.22) 26.92 
NWSZFNWS Holdings Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  33.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Aeroportuario

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Aeroportuario's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Aeroportuario's price trends.

Grupo Aeroportuario Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Aeroportuario pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Aeroportuario by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Aeroportuario Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Aeroportuario pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Aeroportuario shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Aeroportuario pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Aeroportuario del entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Aeroportuario Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Aeroportuario's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Grupo Aeroportuario

The number of cover stories for Grupo Aeroportuario depends on current market conditions and Grupo Aeroportuario's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Aeroportuario is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Aeroportuario's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Grupo Pink Sheet

When determining whether Grupo Aeroportuario del offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Grupo Aeroportuario's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Grupo Aeroportuario Del Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Grupo Aeroportuario Del Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Aeroportuario to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Aeroportuario's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Aeroportuario is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Aeroportuario's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.