Global Arena Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GAHC Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Arena Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Global Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Global Arena stock prices and determine the direction of Global Arena Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Global Arena's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Global Arena's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Global Arena hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Arena Holding from the perspective of Global Arena response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Arena Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Global Arena after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Global Arena Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Arena Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Arena Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Arena's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Arena Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Global Arena Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Global Arena's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Arena's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Global Arena's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Arena pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Arena pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Global Arena
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Arena Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Global Arena After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Arena at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Arena or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Global Arena, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Arena Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Arena's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Arena's historical news coverage. Global Arena's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Global Arena's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Arena is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Arena Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Arena Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Arena is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Arena backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Arena, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Global Arena Hype Timeline
Global Arena Holding is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Global is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Global Arena is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Global Arena Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:12 split on the 5th of October 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Arena to cross-verify your projections.Global Arena Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Arena's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Arena's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Arena's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Arena may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APPZ | Monster Arts | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPOM | SPO Global | (0.0006) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 20.00 | (16.67) | 53.33 | |
| AIAD | Aiadvertising | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| BOMO | Bowmo Inc | 0.00 | 6 per month | 13.24 | 0.07 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 250.00 | |
| AAPJ | AAP Inc | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XELA | Exela Technologies | (0.07) | 13 per month | 61.68 | 0.33 | 1,500 | (94.44) | 3,997 | |
| FTWS | Flitways Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EFLN | eFUEL EFN PORATION | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INNI | Innovaro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.78 | 0.1 | 44.00 | (27.71) | 168.63 | |
| TPNI | The Pulse Network | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Global Arena
For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Arena's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Arena's price trends.Global Arena Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Arena pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Arena could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Arena by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Arena Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Arena pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Arena shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Arena pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Arena Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Global Arena
The number of cover stories for Global Arena depends on current market conditions and Global Arena's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Arena is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Arena's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Arena Short Properties
Global Arena's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Arena's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Arena Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Arena's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Arena's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.3 K |
Other Information on Investing in Global Pink Sheet
Global Arena financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Arena security.