Galectin Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GALT Stock  USD 4.03  0.13  3.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Galectin Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62. Galectin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Galectin Therapeutics' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Galectin Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Galectin Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Galectin Therapeutics' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.49)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.41)
Wall Street Target Price
11
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.11)
Using Galectin Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galectin Therapeutics from the perspective of Galectin Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Galectin Therapeutics using Galectin Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Galectin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Galectin Therapeutics' stock price.

Galectin Therapeutics Implied Volatility

    
  2.71  
Galectin Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Galectin Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Galectin Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Galectin Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Galectin Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Galectin Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.

Galectin Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Galectin Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Galectin Stock please use our How to Invest in Galectin Therapeutics guide.Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.01 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 75.2 M in 2026, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (36.7 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Galectin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Galectin Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Galectin Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Galectin Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Galectin Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Galectin Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Galectin Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Galectin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Galectin Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Galectin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galectin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galectin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Galectin Therapeutics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2001-06-30
Previous Quarter
13.8 M
Current Value
11.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
12.9 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Galectin Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Galectin Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Galectin Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Galectin Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galectin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galectin Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galectin Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Galectin TherapeuticsGalectin Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Galectin Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galectin Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galectin Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.53, respectively. We have considered Galectin Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.03
3.45
Expected Value
9.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galectin Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galectin Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3001
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0585
SAESum of the absolute errors18.6202
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Galectin Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Galectin Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Galectin Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galectin Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.0210.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.295.7411.83
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Galectin Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Galectin, whether a beginner or expert, Galectin Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galectin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galectin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galectin Therapeutics' price trends.

Galectin Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galectin Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galectin Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galectin Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galectin Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galectin Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galectin Therapeutics' current price.

Galectin Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galectin Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galectin Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galectin Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Galectin Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galectin Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galectin Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galectin Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galectin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Galectin Stock Analysis

When running Galectin Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Galectin Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galectin Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Galectin Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galectin Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galectin Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galectin Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.