Gambling Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GAMB Stock  USD 12.98  0.06  0.46%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gambling Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.14. Gambling Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gambling stock prices and determine the direction of Gambling Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gambling's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Gambling's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 48.07, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 31.56. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 38.6 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 8.6 M.

Gambling Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Gambling's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
7.5 M
Current Value
15.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
15.3 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Gambling is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Gambling Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Gambling Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gambling Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gambling Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gambling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gambling Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GamblingGambling Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gambling Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gambling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gambling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.02 and 17.18, respectively. We have considered Gambling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.98
14.10
Expected Value
17.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gambling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gambling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5514
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1989
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors12.1353
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Gambling Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Gambling. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Gambling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gambling Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7012.7815.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5315.6118.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.4811.8114.14
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gambling

For every potential investor in Gambling, whether a beginner or expert, Gambling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gambling Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gambling. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gambling's price trends.

Gambling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gambling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gambling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gambling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gambling Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gambling's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gambling's current price.

Gambling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gambling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gambling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gambling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gambling Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gambling Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gambling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gambling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gambling stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Gambling Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gambling's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gambling Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gambling Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gambling to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gambling. If investors know Gambling will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gambling listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
24.173
Earnings Share
0.78
Revenue Per Share
3.115
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
Return On Assets
0.1183
The market value of Gambling Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gambling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gambling's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gambling's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gambling's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gambling's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gambling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gambling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gambling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.