Great American Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GAMN Stock | USD 0.06 0.00 0.00% |
Great Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Great American's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Great American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great American Food from the perspective of Great American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Great American Food on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26. Great American after-hype prediction price | USD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Great |
Great American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Great American Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Great American Food on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Great Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Great American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Great American Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Great American | Great American Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Great American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Great American's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Great American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 41.95, respectively. We have considered Great American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Great American pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Great American pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.6219 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0043 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0859 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2575 |
Predictive Modules for Great American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great American Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great American After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Great American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Great American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Great American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Great American's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great American's historical news coverage. Great American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 42.29, respectively. We have considered Great American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Great American is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great American Food is based on 3 months time horizon.
Great American Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
5.82 | 41.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.06 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
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Great American Hype Timeline
Great American Food is currently traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Great is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 5.82%. The volatility of related hype on Great American is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (565.64 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Great American to cross-verify your projections.Great American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Great American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great American's future price movements. Getting to know how Great American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JEWL | Adamas One Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.00 | |
| LYJN | Lyric Jeans | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VMHG | Victory Marine Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.81 | 0.15 | 27.27 | (16.67) | 261.11 | |
| BRAV | Bravada Intl | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SSGOF | Stop Sleep Go | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KMFI | The Keller Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 125.00 | |
| FVTI | Fortune Valley Treasures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17,333 | |
| FUNFF | FansUnite Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 40.78 | 0.33 | 450.00 | (80.00) | 890.00 | |
| OMWS | Omnia Wellness | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPQS | Sportsquest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.78 | 0.17 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 233.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Great American
For every potential investor in Great, whether a beginner or expert, Great American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Great Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Great. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Great American's price trends.Great American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Great American pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Great American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Great American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Great American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Great American pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Great American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Great American pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Great American Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0598 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0598 |
Great American Risk Indicators
The analysis of Great American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Great American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting great pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 40.28 | |||
| Variance | 1622.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Great American
The number of cover stories for Great American depends on current market conditions and Great American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Great Pink Sheet
Great American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great American security.